Stock Analysis

Are Cloetta's (STO:CLA B) Statutory Earnings A Good Reflection Of Its Earnings Potential?

OM:CLA B
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It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. In this article, we'll look at how useful this year's statutory profit is, when analysing Cloetta (STO:CLA B).

While Cloetta was able to generate revenue of kr5.95b in the last twelve months, we think its profit result of kr370.0m was more important. Happily, it has grown both its profit and revenue over the last three years (but not in the last year), as you can see in the chart below.

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earnings-and-revenue-history
OM:CLA B Earnings and Revenue History January 18th 2021

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. This article will discuss how unusual items have impacted Cloetta's most recent profit results. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Importantly, our data indicates that Cloetta's profit was reduced by kr60m, due to unusual items, over the last year. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Cloetta doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Cloetta's Profit Performance

Because unusual items detracted from Cloetta's earnings over the last year, you could argue that we can expect an improved result in the current quarter. Because of this, we think Cloetta's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 9.4% per year over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Cloetta, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Cloetta's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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