Coeli Private Equity AB (publ)

NGM:CPE I Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 782.9m

Coeli Private Equity Valuation

Is CPE I undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CPE I when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CPE I (SEK90.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK443.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CPE I is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CPE I?

Key metric: As CPE I is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for CPE I. This is calculated by dividing CPE I's market cap by their current book value.
What is CPE I's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio0.6x
BookSEK 1.27b
Market CapSEK 782.85m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does CPE I's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for CPE I vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
FLAT B Flat Capital
1.9xn/aSEK 760.5m
NAXS NAXS
0.7xn/aSEK 573.8m
CASE Case Group
1.9xn/aSEK 543.9m
ATIN Athanase Innovation
0.8xn/aSEK 476.3m
CPE I Coeli Private Equity
0.6xn/aSEK 782.9m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: CPE I is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does CPE I's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the SE Capital Markets Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NAVIGO STAM Navigo Invest
0.1x139.0%US$30.60m
CAPS Northern CapSek Ventures
0.2xn/aUS$725.75k
SMART SDB Smart Valor
0.08xn/aUS$508.36k
No more companies available in this PB range
CPE I 0.6xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies7PB00.81.62.43.24+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: CPE I is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (0.6x) compared to the Swedish Capital Markets industry average (1x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CPE I's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CPE I PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio0.6x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CPE I's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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