Stock Analysis
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- OM:NOBI
Nobia (STO:NOBI investor five-year losses grow to 87% as the stock sheds kr273m this past week
Long term investing works well, but it doesn't always work for each individual stock. It hits us in the gut when we see fellow investors suffer a loss. Anyone who held Nobia AB (publ) (STO:NOBI) for five years would be nursing their metaphorical wounds since the share price dropped 95% in that time. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 67% over the last twelve months. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 30% in the last 90 days. While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.
Since Nobia has shed kr273m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
Check out our latest analysis for Nobia
Because Nobia made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
Over half a decade Nobia reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 0.3% for each year. While far from catastrophic that is not good. If a business loses money, you want it to grow, so no surprises that the share price has dropped 14% each year in that time. We're generally averse to companies with declining revenues, but we're not alone in that. That is not really what the successful investors we know aim for.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We've already covered Nobia's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Nobia's TSR, which was a 87% drop over the last 5 years, was not as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
Investors in Nobia had a tough year, with a total loss of 27%, against a market gain of about 7.7%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 13% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Nobia you should be aware of.
But note: Nobia may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Swedish exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Nobia might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:NOBI
Nobia
Engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of kitchen solutions in Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland, the United Kingdom, Germany, Netherlands, Austria, Iceland, and internationally.