Stock Analysis

Nobia AB (publ) (STO:NOBI) institutional owners may be pleased with recent gains after 56% loss over the past year

OM:NOBI
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Key Insights

  • Institutions' substantial holdings in Nobia implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
  • 27% of the business is held by the top 25 shareholders
  • Analyst forecasts along with ownership data serve to give a strong idea about prospects for a business

A look at the shareholders of Nobia AB (publ) (STO:NOBI) can tell us which group is most powerful. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 43% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

Institutional investors would probably welcome last week's 15% increase in share prices after a year of 56% losses as a sign that returns are likely to begin trending higher.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Nobia.

See our latest analysis for Nobia

ownership-breakdown
OM:NOBI Ownership Breakdown October 6th 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Nobia?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Nobia. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Nobia, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OM:NOBI Earnings and Revenue Growth October 6th 2023

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Nobia. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is Fourth Swedish National Pension Fund (AP4) with 9.4% of shares outstanding. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 3.5% and 2.3% of the stock.

A deeper look at our ownership data shows that the top 25 shareholders collectively hold less than half of the register, suggesting a large group of small holders where no single shareholder has a majority.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Nobia

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our information suggests that Nobia AB (publ) insiders own under 1% of the company. It appears that the board holds about kr1.4m worth of stock. This compares to a market capitalization of kr1.4b. Many investors in smaller companies prefer to see the board more heavily invested. You can click here to see if those insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 31% stake in Nobia. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Private Equity Ownership

Private equity firms hold a 25% stake in Nobia. This suggests they can be influential in key policy decisions. Some might like this, because private equity are sometimes activists who hold management accountable. But other times, private equity is selling out, having taking the company public.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Nobia .

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nobia might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.