Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Northbaze Group AB (publ)'s (STO:NBZ) Revenues Pushing Shares 36% Lower

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OM:NBZ

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Northbaze Group AB (publ) (STO:NBZ) share price has dived 36% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 45% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, considering around half the companies operating in Sweden's Consumer Durables industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.9x, you may consider Northbaze Group as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Northbaze Group

OM:NBZ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 15th 2024

What Does Northbaze Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Northbaze Group could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Northbaze Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Northbaze Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Likewise, not much has changed from three years ago as revenue have been stuck during that whole time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been satisfied with the complete absence of medium-term growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to remain buoyant, climbing by 166% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to contract by 2.3%, which would indicate the company is doing very well.

In light of this, it's quite peculiar that Northbaze Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the contrarian forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

The southerly movements of Northbaze Group's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Northbaze Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook against a shaky industry isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a superior revenue outlook with some actual growth, we can only assume investor uncertainty is what's been suppressing the P/S figures. Amidst challenging industry conditions, a key concern is whether the company can sustain its superior revenue growth trajectory. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Having said that, be aware Northbaze Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Northbaze Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Northbaze Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.