Verisure Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Verisure is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 62.1% and 8.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 63.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.9% in 3 years.
Key information
62.1%
Earnings growth rate
63.19%
EPS growth rate
| Commercial Services earnings growth | 35.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 8.4% |
| Future return on equity | 9.91% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 29 Jun 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
VSURE: Lower Discount Rate And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have nudged their Verisure price target slightly lower from €22.00 to about €21.43, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that together point to a modestly revised fair value view. What’s in the News for Verisure No recent Verisure specific news items were identified in the provided sources.
VSURE: Lower Discount Rate And Higher Margin Outlook Will Support Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Verisure to €13.00 from €12.60, citing updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What’s in the News for Verisure Analysts updated their valuation framework for Verisure, adjusting assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels.Rising Acquisition Costs And Attrition Risks Will Test Recurring Revenue Strength Yet Offer Upside
Catalysts About Verisure Verisure provides monitored security systems and subscription-based alarm services for homes and small businesses. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Low Penetration And AI Efficiencies Will Support Long Duration Subscription Cash Flows
Catalysts About Verisure Verisure provides monitored security systems and services to households and small businesses on a subscription basis. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Underpenetrated Security Markets And AI Efficiencies Will Support Compounding Subscription Cash Flows
Catalysts About Verisure Verisure provides monitored home and small business security through a subscription model built around owned hardware, professional monitoring and human intervention. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 4,883 | 375 | 619 | 1,916 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 4,501 | 230 | 453 | 1,730 | 9 |
| 12/31/2026 | 4,142 | 113 | 386 | 1,573 | 9 |
| 3/31/2026 | 3,845 | -151 | 387 | 1,387 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,745 | -256 | 335 | 1,317 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,651 | -190 | 334 | 1,313 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,572 | -190 | 336 | 1,292 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,486 | -187 | 392 | 1,329 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,408 | -185 | 412 | 1,331 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 3,090 | -278 | 401 | 1,285 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,827 | -237 | 60 | 901 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: VSURE is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2%).
Earnings vs Market: VSURE is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: VSURE is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: VSURE's revenue (8.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Swedish market (6.5% per year).
High Growth Revenue: VSURE's revenue (8.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: VSURE's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.9%).
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/17 17:43 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/17 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Verisure plc is covered by 14 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Manuel Lorente Ortega | Banco Santander |
| null null | Banco Santander |
| James Rowland Clark | Barclays |