Stock Analysis

Should Weakness in Bravida Holding AB (publ)'s (STO:BRAV) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

OM:BRAV
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Bravida Holding's (STO:BRAV) recent performance, when its stock has declined 6.8% over the past month. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Bravida Holding's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Bravida Holding

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Bravida Holding is:

16% = kr1.3b ÷ kr8.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every SEK1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of SEK0.16.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Bravida Holding's Earnings Growth And 16% ROE

To begin with, Bravida Holding seems to have a respectable ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 9.1% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. This probably laid the ground for Bravida Holding's moderate 8.6% net income growth seen over the past five years.

As a next step, we compared Bravida Holding's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 35% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
OM:BRAV Past Earnings Growth January 21st 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is BRAV worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether BRAV is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Bravida Holding Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Bravida Holding has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 51%, meaning that it is left with only 49% to reinvest into its business. This implies that the company has been able to achieve decent earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Besides, Bravida Holding has been paying dividends over a period of eight years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 56%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 14%.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Bravida Holding has some positive attributes. The company has grown its earnings moderately as previously discussed. Still, the high ROE could have been even more beneficial to investors had the company been reinvesting more of its profits. As highlighted earlier, the current reinvestment rate appears to be quite low. With that said, on studying the latest analyst forecasts, we found that while the company has seen growth in its past earnings, analysts expect its future earnings to shrink. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.