Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping VBG Group AB (publ)'s (STO:VBG B) Muted Earnings Despite A 25% Share Price Rise

OM:VBG B
Source: Shutterstock

Despite an already strong run, VBG Group AB (publ) (STO:VBG B) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 135% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, VBG Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.2x, since almost half of all companies in Sweden have P/E ratios greater than 23x and even P/E's higher than 42x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for VBG Group as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for VBG Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:VBG B Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think VBG Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

VBG Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 57%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 149% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.1% per annum as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why VBG Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From VBG Group's P/E?

VBG Group's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that VBG Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for VBG Group that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether VBG Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.