Train Alliance AB (publ)

OM:TRAIN B Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 1.6b

Train Alliance Valuation

Is TRAIN B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRAIN B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TRAIN B (SEK19.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK318.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TRAIN B is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRAIN B?

Key metric: As TRAIN B is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TRAIN B. This is calculated by dividing TRAIN B's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TRAIN B's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio38.6x
EarningsSEK 40.20m
Market CapSEK 1.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TRAIN B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TRAIN B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.7x
FG Fasadgruppen Group
16.2x64.3%SEK 2.0b
EOLU B Eolus Vind
13.6x47.0%SEK 1.1b
NORB B Nordisk Bergteknik
43.1x78.6%SEK 784.2m
NETEL Netel Holding
13.9x56.3%SEK 667.5m
TRAIN B Train Alliance
38.6xn/aSEK 1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TRAIN B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.6x) compared to the peer average (21.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TRAIN B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TRAIN B 38.6xIndustry Avg. 12.8xNo. of Companies19PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TRAIN B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.6x) compared to the European Construction industry average (12.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRAIN B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRAIN B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TRAIN B's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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