Systemair AB (publ)

OM:SYSR Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 15.8b

Systemair Valuation

Is SYSR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SYSR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SYSR (SEK76.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK79.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SYSR is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SYSR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SYSR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.9x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SYSR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SYSR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.2x
LIAB Lindab International
25.5x25.7%SEK 19.4b
INWI Inwido
18.2x18.0%SEK 9.8b
NMAN Nederman Holding
20.9xn/aSEK 7.3b
MTRS Munters Group
44.4x27.9%SEK 38.3b
SYSR Systemair
24.5x13.4%SEK 15.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SYSR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the peer average (27.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SYSR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.7%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.7%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SYSR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the European Building industry average (17.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SYSR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SYSR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.5x
Fair PE Ratio22.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SYSR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SYSR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 76.10
SEK 88.50
+16.3%
4.1%SEK 95.00SEK 85.00n/a5
Jul ’25SEK 77.50
SEK 88.10
+13.7%
4.7%SEK 95.00SEK 83.00n/a5
Jun ’25SEK 78.50
SEK 83.75
+6.7%
4.7%SEK 89.00SEK 78.00n/a4
May ’25SEK 75.00
SEK 83.75
+11.7%
4.7%SEK 89.00SEK 78.00n/a4
Apr ’25SEK 76.40
SEK 83.75
+9.6%
4.7%SEK 89.00SEK 78.00n/a4
Mar ’25SEK 81.10
SEK 88.25
+8.8%
2.7%SEK 91.00SEK 85.00n/a4
Feb ’25SEK 74.60
SEK 88.25
+18.3%
2.7%SEK 91.00SEK 85.00n/a4
Jan ’25SEK 78.70
SEK 84.50
+7.4%
10.1%SEK 91.00SEK 70.00n/a4
Dec ’24SEK 70.60
SEK 83.50
+18.3%
9.6%SEK 91.00SEK 70.00n/a4
Nov ’24SEK 59.20
SEK 84.50
+42.7%
10.1%SEK 91.00SEK 70.00n/a4
Oct ’24SEK 68.70
SEK 84.50
+23.0%
10.1%SEK 91.00SEK 70.00n/a4
Sep ’24SEK 69.70
SEK 83.75
+20.2%
10.0%SEK 91.00SEK 70.00n/a4
Aug ’24SEK 74.90
SEK 87.50
+16.8%
3.5%SEK 91.00SEK 84.00SEK 78.504
Jul ’24SEK 78.60
SEK 87.50
+11.3%
3.5%SEK 91.00SEK 84.00SEK 77.504
Jun ’24SEK 86.20
SEK 91.50
+6.1%
5.7%SEK 98.00SEK 84.00SEK 78.504
May ’24SEK 88.90
SEK 91.50
+2.9%
5.7%SEK 98.00SEK 84.00SEK 75.004
Apr ’24SEK 86.90
SEK 92.00
+5.9%
6.4%SEK 98.00SEK 84.00SEK 76.403
Mar ’24SEK 77.10
SEK 77.00
-0.1%
9.1%SEK 84.00SEK 70.00SEK 81.102
Feb ’24SEK 79.20
SEK 77.00
-2.8%
9.1%SEK 84.00SEK 70.00SEK 74.602
Jan ’24SEK 71.80
SEK 74.50
+3.8%
6.0%SEK 79.00SEK 70.00SEK 78.702
Dec ’23SEK 72.40
SEK 67.50
-6.8%
8.1%SEK 73.00SEK 62.00SEK 70.602
Nov ’23SEK 58.20
SEK 67.50
+16.0%
8.1%SEK 73.00SEK 62.00SEK 59.202
Oct ’23SEK 50.70
SEK 67.50
+33.1%
8.1%SEK 73.00SEK 62.00SEK 68.702
Sep ’23SEK 52.20
SEK 67.50
+29.3%
8.1%SEK 73.00SEK 62.00SEK 69.702
Aug ’23SEK 61.40
SEK 78.50
+27.9%
10.8%SEK 87.00SEK 70.00SEK 74.902

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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