If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating Saab (STO:SAAB B), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Saab, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.085 = kr3.8b ÷ (kr78b - kr33b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
Thus, Saab has an ROCE of 8.5%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Aerospace & Defense industry average of 16%.
Check out our latest analysis for Saab
In the above chart we have measured Saab's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
So How Is Saab's ROCE Trending?
There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at Saab. The company has employed 58% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 8.5%. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Saab has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 42%, which we'd consider pretty high. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
The Bottom Line On Saab's ROCE
In summary, Saab has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. Since the stock has gained an impressive 54% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
Saab could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation on our platform quite valuable.
While Saab may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:SAAB B
Saab
Provides products, services, and solutions for military defense, aviation, and civil security markets worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.