NCC Valuation

Is NCC A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NCC A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NCC A (SEK161.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK235.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NCC A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NCC A?

Key metric: As NCC A is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NCC A. This is calculated by dividing NCC A's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NCC A's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.6x
EarningsSEK 1.24b
Market CapSEK 15.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NCC A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NCC A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.4x
15.7x10.4%SEK 23.3b
INSTAL Instalco
16.5x22.8%SEK 8.1b
SWEC B Sweco
30.8x14.5%SEK 58.3b
SKA B Skanska
18.5x18.0%SEK 90.6b
12.6x6.4%SEK 15.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NCC A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the peer average (20.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NCC A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NCC A 12.6xIndustry Avg. 13.0xNo. of Companies16PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NCC A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the European Construction industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NCC A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NCC A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.6x
Fair PE Ratio18x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NCC A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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