Stock Analysis

What Is Invisio AB (publ)'s (STO:IVSO) Share Price Doing?

OM:IVSO
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Invisio AB (publ) (STO:IVSO), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the OM over the last few months, increasing to kr185 at one point, and dropping to the lows of kr120. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Invisio's current trading price of kr120 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Invisio’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Invisio

What's the opportunity in Invisio?

Invisio appears to be overvalued by 23% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at kr120 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of SEK97.83. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Invisio’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Invisio generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OM:IVSO Earnings and Revenue Growth January 23rd 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Invisio's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in IVSO’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe IVSO should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on IVSO for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for IVSO, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Invisio, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Invisio has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.