Yamama Saudi Cement Valuation
Is 3020 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 3020 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 3020 (SAR34.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR15.93)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 3020 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3020?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 3020's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ر.س7.07b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 8.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 18.8x |
| PEG Ratio | 3.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 3020's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 30.4x | ||
3030 Saudi Cement | 18.3x | 3.4% | ر.س7.0b |
3060 Yanbu Cement | 38.1x | 13.9% | ر.س4.6b |
3050 Southern Province Cement | 28.5x | 5.9% | ر.س5.6b |
3040 Qassim Cement | 36.6x | 19.5% | ر.س5.2b |
3020 Yamama Saudi Cement | 23.2x | 6.0% | ر.س7.1b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3020 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the peer average (30.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 3020's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the SA Basic Materials Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3020 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the SA Basic Materials industry average (27.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 3020's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 23.2x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 24.6x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3020 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س34.80 | ر.س36.83 +5.8% | 14.8% | ر.س43.60 | ر.س30.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س34.40 | ر.س37.30 +8.4% | 13.1% | ر.س43.40 | ر.س30.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س36.05 | ر.س37.30 +3.5% | 13.1% | ر.س43.40 | ر.س30.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س30.45 | ر.س37.30 +22.5% | 13.1% | ر.س43.40 | ر.س30.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س33.95 | ر.س37.73 +11.1% | 11.4% | ر.س43.40 | ر.س30.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س32.70 | ر.س36.81 +12.6% | 11.9% | ر.س43.40 | ر.س30.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س30.10 | ر.س37.03 +23.0% | 11.2% | ر.س43.40 | ر.س33.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س33.35 | ر.س37.03 +11.0% | 11.2% | ر.س43.40 | ر.س33.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س33.00 | ر.س36.38 +10.2% | 10.8% | ر.س43.40 | ر.س33.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س36.20 | ر.س35.32 -2.4% | 12.2% | ر.س43.40 | ر.س30.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س35.32 0% | 12.2% | ر.س43.40 | ر.س30.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Jun ’24 | ر.س33.85 | ر.س33.53 -0.9% | 7.0% | ر.س38.00 | ر.س30.00 | n/a | 6 |
| May ’24 | ر.س33.25 | ر.س32.44 -2.4% | 4.2% | ر.س33.80 | ر.س30.00 | ر.س35.00 | 5 |
| Apr ’24 | ر.س30.80 | ر.س32.44 +5.3% | 4.2% | ر.س33.80 | ر.س30.00 | ر.س34.40 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | ر.س31.30 | ر.س32.44 +3.6% | 4.2% | ر.س33.80 | ر.س30.00 | ر.س36.05 | 5 |
| Feb ’24 | ر.س28.80 | ر.س32.44 +12.6% | 4.2% | ر.س33.80 | ر.س30.00 | ر.س30.45 | 5 |
| Jan ’24 | ر.س27.40 | ر.س32.84 +19.9% | 3.5% | ر.س34.00 | ر.س31.00 | ر.س33.95 | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | ر.س27.10 | ر.س32.70 +20.7% | 3.8% | ر.س34.00 | ر.س31.00 | ر.س32.70 | 4 |
| Nov ’23 | ر.س29.35 | ر.س32.40 +10.4% | 5.8% | ر.س35.20 | ر.س30.00 | ر.س30.10 | 5 |
| Oct ’23 | ر.س28.75 | ر.س30.78 +7.1% | 7.9% | ر.س35.20 | ر.س27.90 | ر.س33.35 | 5 |
| Sep ’23 | ر.س29.30 | ر.س30.78 +5.1% | 7.9% | ر.س35.20 | ر.س27.90 | ر.س33.00 | 5 |
| Aug ’23 | ر.س30.00 | ر.س30.78 +2.6% | 7.9% | ر.س35.20 | ر.س27.90 | ر.س36.20 | 5 |
| Jul ’23 | ر.س25.15 | ر.س29.62 +17.8% | 10.9% | ر.س35.20 | ر.س26.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’23 | ر.س30.10 | ر.س29.28 -2.7% | 12.0% | ر.س35.20 | ر.س26.00 | ر.س33.85 | 4 |
| May ’23 | ر.س34.95 | ر.س29.28 -16.2% | 12.0% | ر.س35.20 | ر.س26.00 | ر.س33.25 | 4 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.