Stock Analysis

SABIC Agri-Nutrients (TADAWUL:2020) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ر.س1.25

SASE:2020
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SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company's (TADAWUL:2020) dividend will be increasing to ر.س1.25 on 14th of July. This takes the annual payment to 1.9% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.

View our latest analysis for SABIC Agri-Nutrients

SABIC Agri-Nutrients' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible. The last dividend was quite easily covered by SABIC Agri-Nutrients' earnings. This indicates that quite a large proportion of earnings is being invested back into the business.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 54.5%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 35%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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SASE:2020 Historic Dividend June 17th 2021

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2011, the dividend has gone from ر.س7.20 to ر.س2.25. This works out to a decline of approximately 69% over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth Is Doubtful

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. It's not great to see that SABIC Agri-Nutrients' earnings per share has fallen at approximately 5.6% per year over the past five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this can turn into a longer term trend.

We'd also point out that SABIC Agri-Nutrients has issued stock equal to 14% of shares outstanding. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.

Our Thoughts On SABIC Agri-Nutrients' Dividend

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We don't think SABIC Agri-Nutrients is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for SABIC Agri-Nutrients that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of strong dividend payers.

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