Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper

SASE:1202 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س3.6b

Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper Valuation

Is 1202 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1202 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1202 (SAR41.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR16.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1202 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1202?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1202 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA96.7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1202's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1202 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.7x
2300 Saudi Paper Manufacturing
3.7x12.3%ر.س3.0b
3092 Riyadh Cement
5.1x4.9%ر.س3.3b
3080 Eastern Province Cement
3x3.2%ر.س3.0b
1322 Al Masane Al Kobra Mining
10.9x12.2%ر.س5.2b
1202 Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper
4.1x17.3%ر.س3.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1202 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the peer average (5.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1202's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1202 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the Asian Forestry industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1202's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1202 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.1x
Fair PS Ratio3.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1202 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1202 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س41.20
ر.س36.50
-11.4%
6.8%ر.س39.00ر.س34.00n/a2
Apr ’25ر.س44.70
ر.س36.50
-18.3%
6.8%ر.س39.00ر.س34.00n/a2
Mar ’25ر.س44.15
ر.س36.50
-17.3%
6.8%ر.س39.00ر.س34.00n/a2
Feb ’25ر.س39.10
ر.س36.50
-6.6%
6.8%ر.س39.00ر.س34.00n/a2
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س30.50
0%
4.9%ر.س32.00ر.س29.00n/a2
Jun ’24ر.س33.60
ر.س30.50
-9.2%
4.9%ر.س32.00ر.س29.00n/a2
May ’24ر.س32.80
ر.س31.75
-3.2%
8.7%ر.س34.50ر.س29.00ر.س43.152

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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