Stock Analysis

Investors in Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (TADAWUL:2380) have unfortunately lost 57% over the last three years

SASE:2380
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If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But long term Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company (TADAWUL:2380) shareholders have had a particularly rough ride in the last three year. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 70% drop in the share price over that period. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 37% in a year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 21% in the last three months. We note that the company has reported results fairly recently; and the market is hardly delighted. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

View our latest analysis for Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical

Because Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

Over three years, Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical grew revenue at 6.9% per year. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. It's likely this weak growth has contributed to an annualised return of 19% for the last three years. It can be well worth keeping an eye on growth stocks that disappoint the market, because sometimes they re-accelerate. After all, growing a business isn't easy, and the process will not always be smooth.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

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SASE:2380 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 24th 2024

Take a more thorough look at Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical's TSR of was a loss of 57% for the 3 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

A Different Perspective

Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical shareholders are down 37% for the year, but the market itself is up 3.6%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Saudi exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.