National Company for Learning and Education

SASE:4291 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س6.8b

National Company for Learning and Education Valuation

Is 4291 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4291 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4291 (SAR158.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR45.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4291 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4291?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4291 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue13.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA49.3x
PEG Ratio5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4291's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4291 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average49.9x
4292 Ataa Educational
35.4x20.3%ر.س2.5b
4290 Al Khaleej Training and Education
87.5xn/aر.س2.0b
9541 Academy of Learning
25.8xn/aر.س706.8m
9526 Jahez International Company for Information Systems Technology
50.8x23.1%ر.س6.4b
4291 National Company for Learning and Education
60.1x12.1%ر.س6.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4291 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.1x) compared to the peer average (49.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4291's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4291 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.1x) compared to the Asian Consumer Services industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4291's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4291 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio60.1x
Fair PE Ratio35.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4291 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4291 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س158.80
ر.س118.50
-25.4%
15.6%ر.س137.00ر.س100.00n/a2
May ’25ر.س148.80
ر.س118.50
-20.4%
15.6%ر.س137.00ر.س100.00n/a2
Apr ’25ر.س144.40
ر.س118.50
-17.9%
15.6%ر.س137.00ر.س100.00n/a2
Mar ’25ر.س169.20
ر.س118.50
-30.0%
15.6%ر.س137.00ر.س100.00n/a2
Feb ’25ر.س147.60
ر.س118.50
-19.7%
15.6%ر.س137.00ر.س100.00n/a2
Jan ’25ر.س121.40
ر.س111.50
-8.2%
10.3%ر.س123.00ر.س100.00n/a2
Dec ’24ر.س109.20
ر.س107.50
-1.6%
14.4%ر.س123.00ر.س92.00n/a2
Nov ’24ر.س98.20
ر.س107.50
+9.5%
14.4%ر.س123.00ر.س92.00n/a2
Oct ’24ر.س96.60
ر.س107.50
+11.3%
14.4%ر.س123.00ر.س92.00n/a2
Sep ’24ر.س116.00
ر.س107.50
-7.3%
14.4%ر.س123.00ر.س92.00n/a2
Aug ’24ر.س103.80
ر.س107.50
+3.6%
14.4%ر.س123.00ر.س92.00n/a2
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س107.50
0%
14.4%ر.س123.00ر.س92.00n/a2
Jun ’24ر.س113.00
ر.س104.50
-7.5%
17.7%ر.س123.00ر.س86.00ر.س158.802
May ’24ر.س116.80
ر.س85.00
-27.2%
1.2%ر.س86.00ر.س84.00ر.س148.802
Apr ’24ر.س100.00
ر.س83.00
-17.0%
1.2%ر.س84.00ر.س82.00ر.س144.402
Mar ’24ر.س90.20
ر.س83.00
-8.0%
1.2%ر.س84.00ر.س82.00ر.س169.202
Feb ’24ر.س83.00
ر.س83.00
0%
1.2%ر.س84.00ر.س82.00ر.س147.602
Jan ’24ر.س67.50
ر.س64.00
-5.2%
9.4%ر.س70.00ر.س58.00ر.س121.402
Dec ’23ر.س65.80
ر.س63.00
-4.3%
7.9%ر.س68.00ر.س58.00ر.س109.202
Nov ’23ر.س59.50
ر.س63.00
+5.9%
7.9%ر.س68.00ر.س58.00ر.س98.202
Oct ’23ر.س62.00
ر.س63.00
+1.6%
7.9%ر.س68.00ر.س58.00ر.س96.602
Sep ’23ر.س55.90
ر.س63.00
+12.7%
7.9%ر.س68.00ر.س58.00ر.س116.002
Aug ’23ر.س59.40
ر.س63.00
+6.1%
7.9%ر.س68.00ر.س58.00ر.س103.802
Jul ’23ر.س59.70
ر.س60.00
+0.5%
3.3%ر.س62.00ر.س58.00n/a2
Jun ’23ر.س58.70
ر.س60.00
+2.2%
3.3%ر.س62.00ر.س58.00ر.س113.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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