Saudi Ceramic Company

SASE:2040 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س3.5b

Saudi Ceramic Valuation

Is 2040 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2040 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
ر.س3.03
Fair Value
1.1k% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 2040 (SAR35.3) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR3.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2040 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2040?

Key metric: As 2040 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 2040. This is calculated by dividing 2040's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 2040's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.6x
Salesر.س1.35b
Market Capر.س3.52b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 2040's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 2040 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.2x
1302 Bawan
1.1x7.5%ر.س3.4b
9531 Al Obeikan Glass
4.3xn/aر.س1.4b
4144 Raoom trading
8.9xn/aر.س1.1b
9611 Arabian United Float Glass
2.4xn/aر.س646.1m
2040 Saudi Ceramic
2.6x6.2%ر.س3.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 2040 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x) compared to the peer average (4.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 2040's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Building Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2040 2.6xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies43PS00.81.62.43.24+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 2040 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x) compared to the Asian Building industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2040's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2040 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.6x
Fair PS Ratio1.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 2040 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2040 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س35.30
ر.س29.05
-17.7%
23.9%ر.س36.00ر.س22.10n/a2
Jan ’26ر.س34.80
ر.س29.05
-16.5%
23.9%ر.س36.00ر.س22.10n/a2
Dec ’25ر.س36.55
ر.س29.05
-20.5%
23.9%ر.س36.00ر.س22.10n/a2
Nov ’25ر.س32.60
ر.س27.80
-14.7%
29.5%ر.س36.00ر.س19.60n/a2
Oct ’25ر.س32.60
ر.س27.80
-14.7%
29.5%ر.س36.00ر.س19.60n/a2
Sep ’25ر.س30.35
ر.س27.80
-8.4%
29.5%ر.س36.00ر.س19.60n/a2
Aug ’25ر.س27.85
ر.س29.36
+5.4%
22.6%ر.س36.00ر.س22.72n/a2
Jul ’25ر.س28.70
ر.س23.84
-16.9%
15.4%ر.س28.80ر.س20.00n/a3
Jun ’25ر.س27.32
ر.س23.31
-14.7%
12.7%ر.س27.20ر.س20.00n/a3
May ’25ر.س28.28
ر.س24.53
-13.2%
13.1%ر.س27.20ر.س20.00n/a3
Apr ’25ر.س27.16
ر.س22.16
-18.4%
16.1%ر.س27.20ر.س19.28n/a3
Mar ’25ر.س24.76
ر.س22.16
-10.5%
16.1%ر.س27.20ر.س19.28n/a3
Feb ’25ر.س20.80
ر.س22.16
+6.5%
16.1%ر.س27.20ر.س19.28ر.س35.753
Jan ’25ر.س22.36
ر.س22.16
-0.9%
16.1%ر.س27.20ر.س19.28ر.س34.803
Dec ’24ر.س21.40
ر.س23.24
+8.6%
17.0%ر.س27.20ر.س19.28ر.س36.552
Nov ’24ر.س19.02
ر.س24.45
+28.5%
9.4%ر.س27.20ر.س21.60ر.س32.603
Oct ’24ر.س22.40
ر.س24.45
+9.2%
9.4%ر.س27.20ر.س21.60ر.س32.603
Sep ’24ر.س23.24
ر.س24.45
+5.2%
9.4%ر.س27.20ر.س21.60ر.س30.353
Aug ’24ر.س24.20
ر.س24.45
+1.0%
9.4%ر.س27.20ر.س21.60ر.س27.853
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س26.91
0%
20.3%ر.س34.40ر.س21.60ر.س28.703
Jun ’24ر.س25.08
ر.س26.91
+7.3%
20.3%ر.س34.40ر.س21.60ر.س27.323
May ’24ر.س25.48
ر.س30.11
+18.2%
11.9%ر.س34.40ر.س25.60ر.س28.283
Apr ’24ر.س25.12
ر.س33.05
+31.6%
16.2%ر.س38.40ر.س25.60ر.س27.164
Mar ’24ر.س24.08
ر.س33.11
+37.5%
16.1%ر.س38.40ر.س25.60ر.س24.764
Feb ’24ر.س24.48
ر.س33.11
+35.3%
16.1%ر.س38.40ر.س25.60ر.س20.804
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
ر.س29.05
Fair Value
21.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/07 22:04
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/06 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Saudi Ceramic Company is covered by 8 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Talha Nazar ul HaqueAljazira Capital Company
Kais KriaaAlphaMena
Pratik KhandelwalAl Rajhi Capital