Al Hassan Ghazi Ibrahim Shaker Valuation
Is 1214 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 1214 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 1214 (SAR23.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR32.08)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 1214 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1214?
Key metric: As 1214 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 1214's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 19.1x |
| Earnings | ر.س70.41m |
| Market Cap | ر.س1.37b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.2x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 17.9x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 1214's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 52.1x | ||
9510 National Building and Marketing | 121.8x | n/a | ر.س2.4b |
9528 Gas Arabian Services | 31.5x | n/a | ر.س2.9b |
9533 Saudi Parts Center | 53.7x | n/a | ر.س218.7m |
9569 AlMuneef Company for Trade Industry Agriculture and Contracting | 1.4x | n/a | ر.س23.4m |
1214 Al Hassan Ghazi Ibrahim Shaker | 18.9x | 15.8% | ر.س1.3b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1214 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x) compared to the peer average (52.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 1214's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Trade Distributors Industry?
| 27 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1214 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x) compared to the Asian Trade Distributors industry average (14.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 1214's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 19.1x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 19.3x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1214 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س23.92 | ر.س33.07 +38.2% | 7.7% | ر.س36.50 | ر.س30.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’25 | ر.س26.15 | ر.س33.07 +26.4% | 7.7% | ر.س36.50 | ر.س30.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’25 | ر.س27.25 | ر.س33.07 +21.3% | 7.7% | ر.س36.50 | ر.س30.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’25 | ر.س28.80 | ر.س33.07 +14.8% | 7.7% | ر.س36.50 | ر.س30.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Aug ’25 | ر.س27.85 | ر.س33.07 +18.7% | 7.7% | ر.س36.50 | ر.س30.40 | n/a | 3 |
| Jul ’25 | ر.س29.65 | ر.س33.08 +11.6% | 7.7% | ر.س36.50 | ر.س30.42 | n/a | 3 |
| Jun ’25 | ر.س25.00 | ر.س31.37 +25.5% | 3.0% | ر.س32.33 | ر.س30.42 | n/a | 2 |
| May ’25 | ر.س30.55 | ر.س31.37 +2.7% | 3.0% | ر.س32.33 | ر.س30.42 | n/a | 2 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س30.90 | ر.س31.37 +1.5% | 3.0% | ر.س32.33 | ر.س30.42 | n/a | 2 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س28.20 | ر.س24.59 -12.8% | 23.7% | ر.س30.42 | ر.س18.77 | n/a | 2 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س18.08 | ر.س23.35 +29.2% | 15.8% | ر.س27.81 | ر.س18.77 | ر.س26.15 | 3 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س23.16 | ر.س23.35 +0.8% | 15.8% | ر.س27.81 | ر.س18.77 | ر.س27.25 | 3 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س21.45 | ر.س23.35 +8.9% | 15.8% | ر.س27.81 | ر.س18.77 | ر.س28.80 | 3 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س22.25 | ر.س23.35 +4.9% | 15.8% | ر.س27.81 | ر.س18.77 | ر.س27.85 | 3 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س23.35 0% | 15.8% | ر.س27.81 | ر.س18.77 | ر.س29.65 | 3 |
| Jun ’24 | ر.س21.86 | ر.س20.45 -6.4% | 10.4% | ر.س23.46 | ر.س18.77 | ر.س25.00 | 3 |
| May ’24 | ر.س19.03 | ر.س20.45 +7.5% | 10.4% | ر.س23.46 | ر.س18.77 | ر.س30.55 | 3 |
| Apr ’24 | ر.س17.03 | ر.س21.12 +24.0% | 9.5% | ر.س23.12 | ر.س19.12 | ر.س30.90 | 2 |
| Mar ’24 | ر.س16.25 | ر.س21.12 +29.9% | 9.5% | ر.س23.12 | ر.س19.12 | ر.س28.20 | 2 |
| Feb ’24 | ر.س16.63 | ر.س21.12 +27.0% | 9.5% | ر.س23.12 | ر.س19.12 | ر.س25.33 | 2 |
| Jan ’24 | ر.س16.77 | ر.س21.12 +25.9% | 9.5% | ر.س23.12 | ر.س19.12 | ر.س24.12 | 2 |
| Nov ’23 | ر.س19.75 | ر.س21.29 +7.8% | 10.2% | ر.س23.46 | ر.س19.12 | ر.س18.08 | 2 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.