Al Hassan Ghazi Ibrahim Shaker Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 1214 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

1214 (SAR27.65) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (SAR33.5)

Is 1214 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1214 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1214 (SAR27.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR33.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1214 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1214?

Key metric: As 1214 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1214. This is calculated by dividing 1214's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1214's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	21.8x
Earnings	ر.س70.41m
Market Cap	ر.س1.53b

1214 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	19.7x
PEG Ratio	1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1214's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1214 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	51.2x
9510 National Building and Marketing	115.3x	n/a	ر.س2.3b
9528 Gas Arabian Services	31x	n/a	ر.س2.8b
9569 AlMuneef Company for Trade Industry Agriculture and Contracting	13.7x	n/a	ر.س243.2m
9533 Saudi Parts Center	44.8x	n/a	ر.س182.4m
1214 Al Hassan Ghazi Ibrahim Shaker	21.8x	16.3%	ر.س1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1214 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the peer average (51.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1214's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Trade Distributors Industry?

19 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

19 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1214 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the Asian Trade Distributors industry average (14.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1214's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1214 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	21.8x
Fair PE Ratio	19.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1214 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1214 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	ر.س27.65	ر.س33.07 +19.6%	7.7%	ر.س36.50	ر.س30.40	n/a	3
Dec ’25	ر.س24.48	ر.س33.07 +35.1%	7.7%	ر.س36.50	ر.س30.40	n/a	3
Nov ’25	ر.س26.15	ر.س33.07 +26.4%	7.7%	ر.س36.50	ر.س30.40	n/a	3
Oct ’25	ر.س27.25	ر.س33.07 +21.3%	7.7%	ر.س36.50	ر.س30.40	n/a	3
Sep ’25	ر.س28.80	ر.س33.07 +14.8%	7.7%	ر.س36.50	ر.س30.40	n/a	3
Aug ’25	ر.س27.85	ر.س33.07 +18.7%	7.7%	ر.س36.50	ر.س30.40	n/a	3
Jul ’25	ر.س29.65	ر.س33.08 +11.6%	7.7%	ر.س36.50	ر.س30.42	n/a	3
Jun ’25	ر.س25.00	ر.س31.37 +25.5%	3.0%	ر.س32.33	ر.س30.42	n/a	2
May ’25	ر.س30.55	ر.س31.37 +2.7%	3.0%	ر.س32.33	ر.س30.42	n/a	2
Apr ’25	ر.س30.90	ر.س31.37 +1.5%	3.0%	ر.س32.33	ر.س30.42	n/a	2
Mar ’25	ر.س28.20	ر.س24.59 -12.8%	23.7%	ر.س30.42	ر.س18.77	n/a	2
Nov ’24	ر.س18.08	ر.س23.35 +29.2%	15.8%	ر.س27.81	ر.س18.77	ر.س26.15	3
Oct ’24	ر.س23.16	ر.س23.35 +0.8%	15.8%	ر.س27.81	ر.س18.77	ر.س27.25	3
Sep ’24	ر.س21.45	ر.س23.35 +8.9%	15.8%	ر.س27.81	ر.س18.77	ر.س28.80	3
Aug ’24	ر.س22.25	ر.س23.35 +4.9%	15.8%	ر.س27.81	ر.س18.77	ر.س27.85	3
Jul ’24	n/a	ر.س23.35 0%	15.8%	ر.س27.81	ر.س18.77	ر.س29.65	3
Jun ’24	ر.س21.86	ر.س20.45 -6.4%	10.4%	ر.س23.46	ر.س18.77	ر.س25.00	3
May ’24	ر.س19.03	ر.س20.45 +7.5%	10.4%	ر.س23.46	ر.س18.77	ر.س30.55	3
Apr ’24	ر.س17.03	ر.س21.12 +24.0%	9.5%	ر.س23.12	ر.س19.12	ر.س30.90	2
Mar ’24	ر.س16.25	ر.س21.12 +29.9%	9.5%	ر.س23.12	ر.س19.12	ر.س28.20	2
Feb ’24	ر.س16.63	ر.س21.12 +27.0%	9.5%	ر.س23.12	ر.س19.12	ر.س25.33	2
Jan ’24	ر.س16.77	ر.س21.12 +25.9%	9.5%	ر.س23.12	ر.س19.12	ر.س24.12	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/02 19:16
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Al Hassan Ghazi Ibrahim Shaker Company is covered by 7 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Saleh Al-Quati	Aljazira Capital Company
Mehwish Zafar	Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Toka Elwazery	Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.