Stock Analysis

Shareholders Of Federal Hydro-Generating Company - RusHydro (MCX:HYDR) Must Be Happy With Their 52% Return

MISX:HYDR
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If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market But Public Joint-Stock Company Federal Hydro-Generating Company - RusHydro (MCX:HYDR) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 16% over five years, which is below the market return. Looking at the last year alone, the stock is up 8.2%.

Check out our latest analysis for Federal Hydro-Generating Company - RusHydro

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During five years of share price growth, Federal Hydro-Generating Company - RusHydro actually saw its EPS drop 5.2% per year.

The strong decline in earnings per share suggests the market isn't using EPS to judge the company. The falling EPS doesn't correlate with the climbing share price, so it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

In fact, the dividend has increased over time, which is a positive. It could be that the company is reaching maturity and dividend investors are buying for the yield.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
MISX:HYDR Earnings and Revenue Growth February 20th 2021

We know that Federal Hydro-Generating Company - RusHydro has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Federal Hydro-Generating Company - RusHydro

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Federal Hydro-Generating Company - RusHydro the TSR over the last 5 years was 52%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Federal Hydro-Generating Company - RusHydro shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 14% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 9%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Federal Hydro-Generating Company - RusHydro .

Of course Federal Hydro-Generating Company - RusHydro may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on RU exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About MISX:HYDR

Federal Hydro-Generating Company - RusHydro

Public Joint-Stock Company Federal Hydro-Generating Company - RusHydro, together with its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity and heat in Russia.

Adequate balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.