If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. So after we looked into Belon (MCX:BLNG), the trends above didn't look too great.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Belon:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0014 = ₽7.8m ÷ (₽5.6b - ₽1.3m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
Therefore, Belon has an ROCE of 0.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 7.6%.
Check out our latest analysis for Belon
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Belon, check out these free graphs here.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
We are a bit anxious about the trends of ROCE at Belon. To be more specific, today's ROCE was 11% five years ago but has since fallen to 0.1%. What's equally concerning is that the amount of capital deployed in the business has shrunk by 35% over that same period. The fact that both are shrinking is an indication that the business is going through some tough times. If these underlying trends continue, we wouldn't be too optimistic going forward.
On a side note, Belon has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 0.02% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
What We Can Learn From Belon's ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that Belon is shrinking its capital base and also generating lower returns. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 58% return. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Belon we've found 3 warning signs (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
While Belon isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
When trading Belon or any other investment, use the platform considered by many to be the Professional's Gateway to the Worlds Market, Interactive Brokers. You get the lowest-cost* trading on stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide from a single integrated account. Promoted
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Belon might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisThis article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
About MISX:BLNG
Belon
Belon Joint Stock Company extracts, processes, and produces coal and related products in Russia.
Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.