If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? A business that's potentially in decline often shows two trends, a return on capital employed (ROCE) that's declining, and a base of capital employed that's also declining. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. And from a first read, things don't look too good at S.C. Romcarbon (BVB:ROCE), so let's see why.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for S.C. Romcarbon:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0092 = RON1.7m ÷ (RON286m - RON100m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
So, S.C. Romcarbon has an ROCE of 0.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 9.1%.
Check out our latest analysis for S.C. Romcarbon
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how S.C. Romcarbon has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at S.C. Romcarbon. About five years ago, returns on capital were 4.3%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect S.C. Romcarbon to turn into a multi-bagger.
Our Take On S.C. Romcarbon's ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 43% return. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
S.C. Romcarbon does have some risks, we noticed 4 warning signs (and 2 which don't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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About BVB:ROCE
S.C. Romcarbon
Operates as a plastic processor in Romania, rest of Europe, China, Israel, Taiwan, and Panama.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.