Sphera Franchise Group S.A.

BVB:SFG Stock Report

Market Cap: RON 1.6b

Sphera Franchise Group Valuation

Is SFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SFG (RON40.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (RON41.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SFG is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SFG?

Key metric: As SFG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SFG. This is calculated by dividing SFG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SFG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.3x
EarningsRON 108.89m
Market CapRON 1.56b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SFG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SFG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32x
ARCU Sifi Cluj Retail
19.4xn/aRON 130.8m
8163 SRS HoldingsLtd
23.8xn/aJP¥48.2b
9900 Sagami Holdings
45.9xn/aJP¥53.4b
3196 HOTLANDLtd
39x17.5%JP¥47.4b
SFG Sphera Franchise Group
14.3x11.3%RON 1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the peer average (32x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SFG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SFG 14.3xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies16PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SFG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.3x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SFG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SFG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SFG's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SFG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRON 40.20
RON 35.60
-11.5%
26.5%RON 47.50RON 23.28n/a4
Dec ’25RON 37.20
RON 35.60
-4.3%
26.5%RON 47.50RON 23.28n/a4
Nov ’25RON 40.30
RON 35.60
-11.7%
26.5%RON 47.50RON 23.28n/a4
Oct ’25RON 39.40
RON 35.60
-9.7%
26.5%RON 47.50RON 23.28n/a4
Sep ’25RON 40.70
RON 33.25
-18.3%
21.2%RON 41.40RON 23.28n/a4
Aug ’25RON 40.40
RON 33.25
-17.7%
21.2%RON 41.40RON 23.28n/a4
Jul ’25RON 37.80
RON 36.57
-3.3%
12.9%RON 41.40RON 30.20n/a3
Jun ’25RON 34.50
RON 36.57
+6.0%
12.9%RON 41.40RON 30.20n/a3
May ’25RON 33.70
RON 31.73
-5.8%
14.8%RON 38.10RON 26.90n/a3
Apr ’25RON 29.30
RON 27.73
-5.3%
6.4%RON 30.20RON 26.10n/a3
Mar ’25RON 28.00
RON 27.73
-1.0%
6.4%RON 30.20RON 26.10n/a3
Feb ’25RON 26.00
RON 27.73
+6.7%
6.4%RON 30.20RON 26.10n/a3
Jan ’25RON 25.70
RON 27.73
+7.9%
6.4%RON 30.20RON 26.10n/a3
Dec ’24RON 20.50
RON 26.50
+29.3%
1.5%RON 26.90RON 26.10RON 37.202
Nov ’24RON 20.00
RON 26.50
+32.5%
1.5%RON 26.90RON 26.10RON 40.302
Oct ’24RON 20.70
RON 23.37
+12.9%
19.0%RON 26.90RON 17.10RON 39.403
Sep ’24RON 20.00
RON 21.80
+9.0%
18.4%RON 26.90RON 17.10RON 40.703
Aug ’24RON 20.50
RON 21.80
+6.3%
18.4%RON 26.90RON 17.10RON 40.403
Jul ’24RON 18.05
RON 19.25
+6.6%
11.2%RON 21.40RON 17.10RON 37.802
Jun ’24RON 18.35
RON 19.25
+4.9%
11.2%RON 21.40RON 17.10RON 34.502

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 22:18
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Sphera Franchise Group S.A. is covered by 4 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Caius RapanuErste Group Bank AG
Daniela MandruSwiss Capital SA
null nullWood & Company