Stock Analysis

Alijarah Holding (Q.P.S.C.)'s (DSM:NLCS) earnings trajectory could turn positive as the stock jumps 10% this past week

DSM:NLCS
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Alijarah Holding (Q.P.S.C.) (DSM:NLCS) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 19% in the last quarter. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. In fact, the share price is down 21% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

The recent uptick of 10% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Alijarah Holding (Q.P.S.C.)

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the three years that the share price fell, Alijarah Holding (Q.P.S.C.)'s earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 4.4% each year. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 8% annual reduction in the share price. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
DSM:NLCS Earnings Per Share Growth September 30th 2024

This free interactive report on Alijarah Holding (Q.P.S.C.)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Alijarah Holding (Q.P.S.C.) the TSR over the last 3 years was -14%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Alijarah Holding (Q.P.S.C.) shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 12% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 8%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Alijarah Holding (Q.P.S.C.) better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Alijarah Holding (Q.P.S.C.) that you should be aware of.

We will like Alijarah Holding (Q.P.S.C.) better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Qatari exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.