EDP Renováveis Valuation

Is EDPR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EDPR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EDPR (€9.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€2.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EDPR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EDPR?

Key metric: As EDPR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EDPR. This is calculated by dividing EDPR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EDPR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio133.5x
Earnings€74.01m
Market Cap€9.88b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EDPR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EDPR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.9x
EDP EDP
11.8x0.2%€12.9b
600674 Sichuan Chuantou EnergyLtd
16.7x6.3%CN¥83.3b
NHPC NHPC
27.5x28.9%₹818.4b
H2O S.P.E.E.H. Hidroelectrica
11.7x-1.3%RON 55.0b
EDPR EDP Renováveis
133.5x37.2%€9.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EDPR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (133.5x) compared to the peer average (16.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EDPR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Renewable Energy Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EDPR 133.5xIndustry Avg. 15.6xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EDPR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (133.5x) compared to the European Renewable Energy industry average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EDPR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EDPR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio133.5x
Fair PE Ratio25.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EDPR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (133.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EDPR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.50
€14.31
+50.7%
17.6%€19.00€8.50n/a22
Dec ’25€11.08
€15.24
+37.5%
12.8%€19.00€10.00n/a22
Nov ’25€12.57
€16.42
+30.6%
11.6%€19.00€10.50n/a21
Oct ’25€15.59
€16.50
+5.8%
11.4%€19.00€10.50n/a22
Sep ’25€14.47
€16.31
+12.7%
11.1%€19.00€10.50n/a22
Aug ’25€14.55
€16.78
+15.3%
17.1%€27.00€10.50n/a22
Jul ’25€13.28
€17.06
+28.5%
17.6%€27.00€10.00n/a22
Jun ’25€14.72
€17.45
+18.6%
21.4%€27.50€9.50n/a22
May ’25€12.87
€17.64
+37.1%
22.2%€27.50€10.50n/a22
Apr ’25€12.54
€18.01
+43.6%
21.7%€27.50€10.50n/a22
Mar ’25€13.00
€19.19
+47.6%
18.3%€27.50€12.50n/a22
Feb ’25€14.98
€20.08
+34.0%
14.3%€27.50€15.50n/a22
Jan ’25€18.53
€20.53
+10.8%
13.6%€27.50€16.00n/a22
Dec ’24€16.71
€20.48
+22.5%
13.7%€27.50€16.00€11.0822
Nov ’24€15.29
€20.75
+35.7%
13.8%€27.50€16.00€12.5722
Oct ’24€15.51
€21.58
+39.1%
12.8%€27.50€18.50€15.5922
Sep ’24€16.88
€21.84
+29.4%
12.7%€27.50€18.50€14.4723
Aug ’24€17.14
€22.18
+29.4%
12.2%€27.50€18.50€14.5523
Jul ’24€18.30
€22.62
+23.6%
12.0%€27.50€18.50€13.2823
Jun ’24€18.87
€22.85
+21.1%
11.8%€27.50€18.50€14.7222
May ’24€20.16
€23.10
+14.6%
11.7%€27.50€18.50€12.8722
Apr ’24€21.09
€23.14
+9.7%
11.4%€27.50€18.50€12.5424
Mar ’24€19.34
€23.31
+20.5%
11.9%€28.00€18.50€13.0024
Feb ’24€19.90
€23.40
+17.6%
11.3%€28.00€18.80€14.9824
Jan ’24€20.58
€23.61
+14.7%
10.3%€28.00€18.80€18.5324
Dec ’23€22.61
€23.63
+4.5%
9.8%€28.00€18.80€16.7123

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 07:02
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

EDP Renováveis, S.A. is covered by 55 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArdour Capital Investments, LLC
Alexandre KollerArkeon Finance
Pedro AlvesBanco BPI, S.A.