EDP, S.A.

ENXTLS:EDP Stock Report

Market Cap: €18.1b

EDP Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

EDP is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.7% and 2.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 5.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10% in 3 years.

Key information

5.7%

Earnings growth rate

5.38%

EPS growth rate

Electric Utilities earnings growth7.6%
Revenue growth rate2.2%
Future return on equity10.02%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated11 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Apr 29

EDP: Refined Earnings Assumptions And Dividend Visibility Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target on EDP higher by €0.50, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a slightly higher fair value for EDP, with the latest price target nudged up by €0.50.
Narrative Update Apr 15

EDP: Updated Fair Value And P/E Assumptions Will Shape Measured Future Outlook

EDP's analyst price target has shifted higher by about €0.50 to €0.60, with analysts pointing to updated fair value estimates, a revised discount rate, and refreshed assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent price target changes of about €0.50 to €0.60 suggest analysts are recalibrating their views on EDP based on updated assumptions for fair value, discount rates, and future operating performance.
Narrative Update Apr 01

EDP: Modest Fair Value Uplift Will Depend On Flawless Execution

EDP's analyst price target has been raised by €0.60. Analysts point to updated fair value estimates, a slightly adjusted discount rate, and modest changes in expected revenue trends, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions to support the move.
Narrative Update Mar 18

EDP: Higher Fair Value Assumptions Will Support Long Term Earnings Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target on EDP higher by €0.60, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E in their latest research. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive stance on EDP, with bullish analysts revisiting their models and lifting fair value estimates in line with revised assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.
Narrative Update Mar 03

EDP: Higher Discount Rate Will Constrain Returns Despite Price Target Uplift

Analysts have nudged their price targets on EDP higher, with one recent move adding €0.60 to the prior target. This reflects updated views on discount rates, profitability and expected P/E multiples.
Narrative Update Feb 17

EDP: Updated Fair Value Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Outlook For Future Profits

Analysts have lifted their price targets on EDP by €0.60 per share, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlighting a €0.60 uplift in the price target reflects refreshed assumptions around EDP's fair value, including adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, margins and future P/E levels.
New Narrative Feb 03

EDP as a safe capital allocation with a potential upside of 28% with steady dividends

The insiders are buying the stock. Fundamentally Edp is undervalued due to a potential growth that I see in its business.
Narrative Update Feb 03

EDP: Modest Price Uplift Will Still Restrain Future Returns

Analysts have increased their price target on EDP by €0.60, reflecting slightly higher revenue expectations, a modestly revised margin outlook, and a small adjustment to future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts appear to view the €0.60 price target uplift as a relatively modest adjustment, pointing to limited conviction behind the higher revenue and margin assumptions that underpin the new target.
Narrative Update Jan 20

EDP: Higher Discount Rate And Weaker Outlook Will Restrain Future Returns

Analysts have raised their price target on EDP to €3.70 from €3.50, citing updated assumptions that include a higher discount rate, slightly less severe revenue contraction, a higher profit margin and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News EDP has scheduled a Capital Markets Day in 2025, providing management with a platform to outline its medium term priorities for investors and analysts.
Narrative Update Jan 06

EDP: Capital Markets Day Will Shape Balanced Outlook For Future Profits

Analysts have nudged their price target for EDP higher to €4.48 from €4.46, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a modestly adjusted future P/E, even though recent Street research has not added new specific arguments to this view. What's in the News EDP has scheduled a Capital Markets Day for 2025.
Analysis Article Jan 02

These 4 Measures Indicate That EDP (ELI:EDP) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Narrative Update Dec 19

EDP: Capital Markets Day Will Shape Long-Term Revenue Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on EDP by approximately $0.16 per share, reflecting a more constructive view on the company’s long term revenue growth trajectory despite slightly softer margin expectations and a marginally lower future P E multiple. What's in the News EDP has scheduled a Capital Markets Day 2025.
Narrative Update Dec 05

EDP: Capital Markets Day Will Support Stronger Outlook For Profits

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for EDP, citing a slightly lower fair value estimate and profit margin outlook that only partially offsets improving revenue growth projections and a marginally cheaper future earnings multiple. What's in the News EDP has scheduled a Capital Markets Day for 2025, signaling upcoming updates on strategic priorities and financial targets (Key Developments).
Analysis Article Nov 27

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of EDP, S.A. (ELI:EDP)

Key Insights The projected fair value for EDP is €3.19 based on Dividend Discount Model Current share price of €3.80...
Narrative Update Nov 21

EDP: Upcoming Capital Markets Day Will Drive Margins and Profitability Momentum

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for EDP from $4.58 to $4.50. They cited marginal adjustments in valuation factors and profitability expectations as the reason for this change.
Analysis Article Nov 08

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of EDP, S.A. (ELI:EDP) After Its Third-Quarter Report

EDP, S.A. ( ELI:EDP ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 9.7% to €3.89 in...
Narrative Update Nov 05

EDP: Future Revenue and Margins Will Shape Moderately Improved Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for EDP from $4.49 to $4.58 per share. This change reflects improved confidence in the company's revenue outlook and growth forecasts.
Narrative Update Oct 22

Analysts Lift EDP Price Target as Profit Margins and Revenue Outlook Improve

Narrative Update on EDP: Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have modestly increased their fair value estimate for EDP from €4.31 to €4.49, as they cite improved profit margin forecasts and a slight uptick in revenue growth expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly from €4.31 to €4.49.
Narrative Update Oct 08

Modernizing Electricity Networks And Renewable Integration Will Foster Future Prosperity

Analysts have raised their price target for EDP, increasing it from €3.50 to €3.90. This reflects a slightly improved view on the company’s future value based on updated financial projections.
Analysis Article Sep 25

The Returns At EDP (ELI:EDP) Aren't Growing

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Analysis Article Sep 09

EDP, S.A. (ELI:EDP) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

EDP, S.A.'s ( ELI:EDP ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now...
Narrative Update Sep 04

Modernizing Electricity Networks And Renewable Integration Will Foster Future Prosperity

With no change in revenue growth forecasts (-0.9% p.a.) or future P/E (16.54x), the consensus analyst price target for EDP remains effectively unchanged at €4.27. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for EDP The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, at €4.27.
Analysis Article Aug 25

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of EDP, S.A. (ELI:EDP)

Key Insights Using the Dividend Discount Model, EDP fair value estimate is €3.25 With €3.88 share price, EDP appears to...
Analysis Article Aug 09

Some May Be Optimistic About EDP's (ELI:EDP) Earnings

The market for EDP, S.A.'s ( ELI:EDP ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We did some...
Analysis Article Aug 06

EDP, S.A. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

ENXTLS:EDP 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore EDP's Fair Values from the Community and select yours EDP, S.A...
Analysis Article Jul 19

EDP (ELI:EDP) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
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New Narrative Jan 12

Investments In Renewable Energy Will Strengthen Future Power Generation In Portugal And Brazil

EDP's focus on renewable energy and hydroelectric performance positions it well for growth through decarbonization and low-cost energy production.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ENXTLS:EDP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202816,0201,3179193,55912
12/31/202715,8041,2468403,54615
12/31/202615,6221,2707373,13313
3/31/202615,5731,099-1,0973,068N/A
12/31/202515,6071,150-1,0043,268N/A
9/30/202515,5896711374,616N/A
6/30/202515,460748-3464,489N/A
3/31/202515,294875-9294,426N/A
12/31/202414,966801-1,3114,198N/A
9/30/202414,7641,089-1,7553,858N/A
6/30/202415,1181,278-2,0663,594N/A
3/31/202415,4781,004-2,3323,027N/A
12/31/202316,202952-3,2202,186N/A
9/30/202317,0621,107-2,9302,246N/A
6/30/202318,729809-2,8471,582N/A
3/31/202319,6311,058-1,0443,038N/A
12/31/202220,6516792783,778N/A
9/30/202220,829664-4082,533N/A
6/30/202219,0666204173,338N/A
3/31/202217,398401-8502,283N/A
12/31/202114,983657-1,3322,020N/A
9/30/202113,389889-1,7661,541N/A
6/30/202112,349829-1,7631,591N/A
3/31/202112,034834-1,7461,328N/A
12/31/202012,448801452,455N/A
9/30/202012,945474-92,348N/A
6/30/202013,409421-2641,895N/A
3/31/202014,0915571,0683,094N/A
12/31/201914,333512N/A2,221N/A
9/30/201914,414682N/A2,658N/A
6/30/201914,826544N/A3,000N/A
3/31/201914,990454N/A2,845N/A
12/31/201815,278519N/A2,938N/A
9/30/201815,403264N/A3,137N/A
6/30/201815,4301,043N/A2,894N/A
3/31/201815,5451,064N/A1,966N/A
12/31/201715,7461,113N/A2,236N/A
9/30/201715,6141,492N/A1,733N/A
6/30/201715,323939N/A2,812N/A
3/31/201715,041913N/A4,345N/A
12/31/201614,595961N/A4,042N/A
9/30/201614,547792N/A4,214N/A
6/30/201614,717798N/A3,374N/A
3/31/201615,168939N/A2,371N/A
12/31/201515,517913N/A3,084N/A
9/30/201516,0751,010N/A3,208N/A
6/30/201516,222993N/A3,100N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: EDP's forecast earnings growth (5.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: EDP's earnings (5.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Portuguese market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: EDP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: EDP's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Portuguese market (4.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: EDP's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: EDP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/13 12:16
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/13 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

EDP, S.A. is covered by 33 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jorge González SadornilBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Bosco Muguiro EulateBanco Santander
José Ruiz FernandezBarclays