EDP - Energias de Portugal, S.A.

ENXTLS:EDP Stock Report

Market Cap: €14.7b

EDP - Energias de Portugal Valuation

Is EDP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EDP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EDP (€3.63) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€3.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EDP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EDP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

EDP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.1x
PEG Ratio3.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EDP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EDP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average47.5x
EDPR EDP Renováveis
44.5x19.8%€13.2b
ADANIENSOL Adani Energy Solutions
103.3x7.3%₹1.2t
TRN Terna
17.1x3.9%€15.1b
TENAGA Tenaga Nasional Berhad
25.1x16.9%RM69.2b
EDP EDP - Energias de Portugal
15.9x4.7%€14.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EDP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the peer average (47.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EDP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EDP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EDP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EDP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.9x
Fair PE Ratio23.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EDP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EDP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.63
€4.96
+36.4%
13.5%€6.10€3.90n/a20
Apr ’25€3.61
€5.14
+42.4%
12.8%€6.10€3.95n/a20
Mar ’25€3.68
€5.29
+43.6%
10.3%€6.10€4.25n/a20
Feb ’25€4.12
€5.46
+32.6%
7.9%€6.10€4.65n/a20
Jan ’25€4.56
€5.60
+22.9%
11.1%€7.35€4.30n/a20
Dec ’24€4.40
€5.61
+27.4%
11.1%€7.35€4.30n/a20
Nov ’24€3.99
€5.62
+40.7%
11.4%€7.35€4.30n/a20
Oct ’24€3.94
€5.71
+45.0%
10.1%€7.35€4.70n/a20
Sep ’24€4.16
€5.78
+38.7%
9.5%€7.35€4.70n/a20
Aug ’24€4.17
€5.79
+39.1%
9.1%€7.35€4.70n/a20
Jul ’24€4.48
€5.81
+29.9%
8.2%€7.35€5.00n/a20
Jun ’24€4.57
€5.85
+27.9%
7.7%€7.35€5.00n/a20
May ’24€5.00
€5.87
+17.4%
7.8%€7.35€5.00€3.5319
Apr ’24€5.02
€5.81
+15.8%
8.1%€7.35€5.00€3.6119
Mar ’24€4.71
€5.83
+23.9%
8.0%€7.35€5.00€3.6821
Feb ’24€4.55
€5.80
+27.5%
8.2%€7.35€5.00€4.1221
Jan ’24€4.66
€5.80
+24.6%
8.5%€7.35€5.00€4.5621
Dec ’23€4.64
€5.80
+25.0%
8.5%€7.35€5.00€4.4021
Nov ’23€4.46
€5.80
+30.3%
8.4%€7.35€5.00€3.9921
Oct ’23€4.44
€5.99
+35.0%
7.5%€7.35€5.40€3.9421
Sep ’23€4.77
€5.82
+22.1%
9.9%€7.35€4.60€4.1622
Aug ’23€4.98
€5.75
+15.5%
10.3%€7.35€4.60€4.1722
Jul ’23€4.63
€5.60
+20.8%
11.4%€7.35€4.50€4.4823
Jun ’23€4.61
€5.51
+19.6%
11.3%€7.35€4.50€4.5722
May ’23€4.44
€5.56
+25.2%
11.5%€7.35€4.50€5.0022

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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