TAURON Polska Energia S.A.

WSE:TPE Stock Report

Market Cap: zł8.4b

TAURON Polska Energia Valuation

Is TPE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TPE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
zł35.46
Fair Value
86.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
7
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: TPE (PLN4.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN35.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TPE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TPE?

Key metric: As TPE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TPE. This is calculated by dividing TPE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TPE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.4x
Earningszł585.00m
Market Capzł8.42b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TPE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TPE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.9x
ENA ENEA
5x-13.9%zł7.0b
ZEP ZE PAK
2x-28.8%zł914.8m
BDZ EC Bedzin
0.2xn/azł76.7m
PEP Polenergia
16.5x-8.6%zł5.0b
TPE TAURON Polska Energia
14.4x2.7%zł8.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TPE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the peer average (-15.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TPE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TPE 14.4xIndustry Avg. 11.4xNo. of Companies11PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TPE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (11.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TPE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TPE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.4x
Fair PE Ratio9.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TPE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TPE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł4.80
zł5.10
+6.1%
15.5%zł6.20zł3.90n/a7
Apr ’26zł5.06
zł5.02
-0.7%
14.1%zł6.00zł3.90n/a7
Mar ’26zł4.42
zł4.69
+6.2%
21.6%zł6.00zł2.91n/a7
Feb ’26zł4.25
zł4.66
+9.6%
21.3%zł6.00zł2.91n/a8
Jan ’26zł3.76
zł4.66
+24.0%
21.3%zł6.00zł2.91n/a8
Dec ’25zł3.65
zł5.32
+45.9%
27.9%zł8.20zł3.14n/a7
Nov ’25zł3.71
zł5.46
+47.4%
28.0%zł8.20zł3.14n/a7
Oct ’25zł3.35
zł5.46
+63.3%
28.0%zł8.20zł3.14n/a7
Sep ’25zł3.55
zł5.42
+52.5%
30.2%zł8.20zł3.14n/a6
Aug ’25zł3.73
zł5.42
+45.2%
30.2%zł8.20zł3.14n/a6
Jul ’25zł4.00
zł5.87
+46.9%
23.9%zł8.20zł4.27n/a5
Jun ’25zł4.05
zł6.28
+55.0%
20.6%zł8.20zł5.00n/a4
May ’25zł2.92
zł4.74
+62.6%
39.1%zł8.20zł2.90n/a5
Apr ’25zł3.06
zł5.20
+69.9%
35.6%zł8.20zł2.90zł5.065
Mar ’25zł3.55
zł5.06
+42.6%
37.3%zł8.20zł2.90zł4.425
Feb ’25zł3.87
zł5.20
+34.4%
34.8%zł8.20zł2.90zł4.255
Jan ’25zł3.73
zł5.20
+39.3%
34.8%zł8.20zł2.90zł3.765
Dec ’24zł4.31
zł5.20
+20.6%
34.8%zł8.20zł2.90zł3.655
Nov ’24zł3.70
zł5.48
+48.1%
36.9%zł8.20zł2.90zł3.715
Oct ’24zł3.59
zł6.13
+70.5%
28.5%zł8.20zł4.30zł3.354
Sep ’24zł4.11
zł6.18
+50.3%
28.9%zł8.20zł4.30zł3.554
Aug ’24zł3.74
zł4.93
+31.9%
42.7%zł7.70zł2.60zł3.733
Jul ’24zł2.75
zł3.50
+27.3%
32.4%zł5.10zł2.60zł4.003
Jun ’24zł2.32
zł3.50
+51.2%
32.4%zł5.10zł2.60zł4.053
May ’24zł2.07
zł3.20
+54.7%
22.2%zł4.20zł2.60zł2.923
Apr ’24zł1.93
zł3.95
+105.0%
36.4%zł6.20zł2.60zł3.064
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
zł5.10
Fair Value
5.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
7
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/16 02:17
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/16 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

TAURON Polska Energia S.A. is covered by 20 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku
Michael HarleauxBNP Paribas Exane
Piotr DzieciolowskiCitigroup Inc