Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Wasko S.A. (WSE:WAS) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Wasko's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Wasko had debt of zł29.7m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from zł44.0m over a year. But it also has zł31.4m in cash to offset that, meaning it has zł1.74m net cash.
A Look At Wasko's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Wasko had liabilities of zł131.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of zł9.99m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had zł31.4m in cash and zł161.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has zł51.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus strongly suggests that Wasko has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). On this basis we think its balance sheet is strong like a sleek panther or even a proud lion. Simply put, the fact that Wasko has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Wasko if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 96% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Wasko's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Wasko has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Wasko saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Wasko has zł1.74m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't have any problem with Wasko's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Wasko (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About WSE:WAS
Flawless balance sheet and good value.