Comarch Valuation

Is CMR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CMR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CMR (PLN249) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PLN233.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CMR is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CMR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CMR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.7x
PEG Ratio1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CMR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CMR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21x
ASE Asseco South Eastern Europe
12.8xn/azł2.6b
SGN Sygnity
36.2x11.5%zł1.4b
CMP Comp
11.2xn/azł347.8m
SPR Spyrosoft Spólka Akcyjna
24xn/azł438.8m
CMR Comarch
19.3x13.8%zł2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CMR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the peer average (21x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CMR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the PL IT Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CMR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the European IT industry average (19.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CMR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CMR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.3x
Fair PE Ratio23.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CMR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CMR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł249.00
zł210.99
-15.3%
26.9%zł290.00zł154.47n/a5
Apr ’25zł249.00
zł210.99
-15.3%
26.9%zł290.00zł154.47n/a5
Mar ’25zł253.00
zł210.99
-16.6%
26.9%zł290.00zł154.47n/a5
Feb ’25zł221.00
zł183.39
-17.0%
13.3%zł215.00zł154.47n/a5
Jan ’25zł208.00
zł183.39
-11.8%
13.3%zł215.00zł154.47n/a5
Dec ’24zł183.00
zł183.39
+0.2%
13.3%zł215.00zł154.47n/a5
Nov ’24zł150.00
zł166.37
+10.9%
9.3%zł193.00zł153.00n/a5
Oct ’24zł141.00
zł166.05
+17.8%
9.2%zł193.00zł153.00n/a5
Sep ’24zł143.00
zł163.05
+14.0%
6.4%zł178.00zł153.00n/a5
Aug ’24zł149.00
zł168.81
+13.3%
11.2%zł201.90zł153.00n/a5
Jul ’24zł148.00
zł172.40
+16.5%
11.3%zł201.90zł153.00n/a4
Jun ’24zł147.00
zł172.40
+17.3%
11.3%zł201.90zł153.00n/a4
May ’24zł154.50
zł179.65
+16.3%
13.9%zł207.00zł153.00n/a4
Apr ’24zł149.00
zł179.65
+20.6%
13.9%zł207.00zł153.00zł249.004
Mar ’24zł151.80
zł179.50
+18.2%
13.9%zł207.00zł153.00zł253.004
Feb ’24zł164.60
zł179.50
+9.1%
13.9%zł207.00zł153.00zł221.004
Jan ’24zł164.00
zł179.50
+9.5%
13.9%zł207.00zł153.00zł208.004
Dec ’23zł168.40
zł179.50
+6.6%
13.9%zł207.00zł153.00zł183.004
Nov ’23zł140.00
zł218.80
+56.3%
21.8%zł290.00zł156.10zł150.004
Oct ’23zł150.00
zł234.85
+56.6%
14.1%zł290.00zł208.70zł141.004
Sep ’23zł157.60
zł234.85
+49.0%
14.1%zł290.00zł208.70zł143.004
Aug ’23zł173.60
zł234.85
+35.3%
14.1%zł290.00zł208.70zł149.004
Jul ’23zł170.40
zł250.83
+47.2%
11.6%zł290.00zł211.40zł148.004
Jun ’23zł178.80
zł250.83
+40.3%
11.6%zł290.00zł211.40zł147.004
May ’23zł172.00
zł246.33
+43.2%
9.6%zł272.00zł211.40zł154.504
Apr ’23zł187.00
zł257.97
+38.0%
5.6%zł272.00zł238.20zł149.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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