Asseco Poland Valuation

Is ACP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ACP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ACP (PLN79.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN256.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ACP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ACP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.8x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ACP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ACP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.3x
ABS Asseco Business Solutions
20.4xn/azł2.0b
XPL Xplus
60.2xn/azł106.2m
LSI LSI Software
8.2xn/azł48.9m
TXT Text
12.2x1.4%zł2.3b
ACP Asseco Poland
11.2x8.3%zł5.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ACP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the peer average (25.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ACP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the PL Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a29.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a29.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ACP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the Polish Software industry average (21.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.2x
Fair PE Ratio24x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ACP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ACP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł79.20
zł89.14
+12.6%
8.1%zł103.00zł82.60n/a5
Apr ’25zł77.50
zł89.14
+15.0%
8.1%zł103.00zł82.60n/a5
Mar ’25zł75.25
zł89.14
+18.5%
8.1%zł103.00zł82.60n/a5
Feb ’25zł72.95
zł89.14
+22.2%
8.1%zł103.00zł82.60n/a5
Jan ’25zł73.10
zł89.14
+21.9%
8.1%zł103.00zł82.60n/a5
Dec ’24zł77.05
zł89.14
+15.7%
8.1%zł103.00zł82.60n/a5
Nov ’24zł77.05
zł91.70
+19.0%
7.5%zł103.00zł84.40n/a5
Oct ’24zł71.70
zł94.08
+31.2%
11.1%zł112.00zł86.00n/a4
Sep ’24zł74.30
zł94.46
+27.1%
9.9%zł112.00zł86.00n/a5
Aug ’24zł80.35
zł93.74
+16.7%
10.8%zł112.00zł82.40n/a5
Jul ’24zł80.25
zł92.00
+14.6%
14.5%zł112.00zł77.60n/a4
Jun ’24zł83.60
zł92.00
+10.0%
14.5%zł112.00zł77.60n/a4
May ’24zł84.40
zł88.00
+4.3%
14.4%zł112.00zł77.60n/a5
Apr ’24zł76.10
zł88.00
+15.6%
14.4%zł112.00zł77.60zł77.505
Mar ’24zł80.40
zł88.00
+9.5%
14.4%zł112.00zł77.60zł75.255
Feb ’24zł75.75
zł88.00
+16.2%
14.4%zł112.00zł77.60zł72.955
Jan ’24zł72.60
zł88.00
+21.2%
14.4%zł112.00zł77.60zł73.105
Dec ’23zł74.10
zł88.00
+18.8%
14.4%zł112.00zł77.60zł77.055
Nov ’23zł68.75
zł86.36
+25.6%
15.2%zł112.00zł75.40zł77.055
Oct ’23zł69.15
zł87.86
+27.1%
14.0%zł112.00zł77.80zł71.705
Sep ’23zł70.25
zł87.86
+25.1%
14.0%zł112.00zł77.80zł74.305
Aug ’23zł72.70
zł87.86
+20.9%
14.0%zł112.00zł77.80zł80.355
Jul ’23zł75.95
zł94.76
+24.8%
10.1%zł112.00zł83.00zł80.255
Jun ’23zł77.20
zł98.16
+27.2%
7.8%zł112.00zł90.10zł83.605
May ’23zł77.95
zł98.16
+25.9%
7.8%zł112.00zł90.10zł84.405
Apr ’23zł79.60
zł99.48
+25.0%
8.1%zł112.00zł90.10zł76.104

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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