Pepco Group N.V. (WSE:PCO) Stocks Shoot Up 35% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable
Pepco Group N.V. (WSE:PCO) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 35% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 33% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Poland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider Pepco Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 33.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Pepco Group has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Pepco Group
Keen to find out how analysts think Pepco Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Growth For Pepco Group?
Pepco Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 41%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 25,113% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 44% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 8.4% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Pepco Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Pepco Group's P/E
Pepco Group's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Pepco Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Pepco Group (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Pepco Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:PCO
Pepco Group
Operates as a discount variety retailer in the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, Poland, and rest of Europe.
Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.