Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka Valuation
Is LWB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of LWB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: LWB (PLN28.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN38.52)
Significantly Below Fair Value: LWB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LWB?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is LWB's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | zł972.79m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.07x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 0.2x |
| PEG Ratio | -0.05x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does LWB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 9.7x | ||
UNT Unimot | 2.2x | -47.5% | zł1.1b |
3315 Nippon Coke & Engineering Company | 11.6x | n/a | JP¥37.3b |
ZMT Zamet | 12.7x | n/a | zł177.4m |
MBAP Mitrabara Adiperdana | 12.3x | n/a | Rp4.3t |
LWB Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka | 1.4x | -29.3% | zł972.8m |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LWB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (9.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does LWB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LWB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.4x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is LWB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 1.4x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 1.9x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LWB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.9x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | zł28.60 | zł34.43 +20.4% | 53.1% | zł60.00 | zł18.30 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | zł33.60 | zł39.15 +16.5% | 53.3% | zł60.00 | zł18.30 | n/a | 2 |
| Mar ’25 | zł33.12 | zł37.10 +12.0% | 46.5% | zł60.00 | zł18.30 | n/a | 3 |
| Feb ’25 | zł35.46 | zł37.10 +4.6% | 46.5% | zł60.00 | zł18.30 | n/a | 3 |
| Jan ’25 | zł34.02 | zł39.43 +15.9% | 37.7% | zł60.00 | zł25.30 | n/a | 3 |
| Dec ’24 | zł34.14 | zł39.43 +15.5% | 37.7% | zł60.00 | zł25.30 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’24 | zł36.80 | zł39.53 +7.4% | 37.4% | zł60.00 | zł25.60 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’24 | zł34.52 | zł46.50 +34.7% | 51.3% | zł80.00 | zł26.50 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’24 | zł35.26 | zł50.10 +42.1% | 42.3% | zł80.00 | zł33.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Aug ’24 | zł37.84 | zł72.43 +91.4% | 36.1% | zł100.00 | zł37.30 | n/a | 3 |
| Jul ’24 | zł39.28 | zł85.07 +116.6% | 12.6% | zł100.00 | zł75.20 | n/a | 3 |
| Jun ’24 | zł39.20 | zł85.07 +117.0% | 12.6% | zł100.00 | zł75.20 | n/a | 3 |
| May ’24 | zł38.82 | zł84.40 +117.4% | 13.5% | zł100.00 | zł73.20 | zł28.74 | 3 |
| Apr ’24 | zł38.08 | zł88.37 +132.1% | 9.6% | zł100.00 | zł80.00 | zł33.60 | 3 |
| Mar ’24 | zł48.20 | zł88.37 +83.3% | 9.6% | zł100.00 | zł80.00 | zł33.12 | 3 |
| Feb ’24 | zł51.90 | zł88.37 +70.3% | 9.6% | zł100.00 | zł80.00 | zł35.46 | 3 |
| Jan ’24 | zł49.92 | zł75.73 +51.7% | 21.8% | zł100.00 | zł60.00 | zł34.02 | 4 |
| Dec ’23 | zł41.40 | zł75.73 +82.9% | 21.8% | zł100.00 | zł60.00 | zł34.14 | 4 |
| Nov ’23 | zł33.50 | zł70.58 +110.7% | 24.1% | zł100.00 | zł60.00 | zł36.80 | 4 |
| Oct ’23 | zł32.38 | zł65.58 +102.5% | 12.7% | zł80.00 | zł60.00 | zł34.52 | 4 |
| Sep ’23 | zł46.46 | zł68.93 +48.4% | 12.5% | zł80.00 | zł60.00 | zł35.26 | 4 |
| Aug ’23 | zł54.50 | zł68.93 +26.5% | 12.5% | zł80.00 | zł60.00 | zł37.84 | 4 |
| Jul ’23 | zł51.50 | zł65.43 +27.0% | 8.9% | zł74.70 | zł60.00 | zł39.28 | 4 |
| Jun ’23 | zł54.40 | zł67.23 +23.6% | 8.4% | zł74.70 | zł61.00 | zł39.20 | 3 |
| May ’23 | zł53.50 | zł68.77 +28.5% | 11.2% | zł79.30 | zł61.00 | zł38.82 | 3 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.