Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka S.A.

WSE:LWB Stock Report

Market Cap: zł704.1m

Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka Valuation

Is LWB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LWB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LWB (PLN20.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN100.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LWB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LWB?

Key metric: As LWB is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LWB. This is calculated by dividing LWB's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LWB's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
Saleszł3.85b
Market Capzł704.08m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LWB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LWB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.9x
CLE Coal Energy
17.5xn/azł34.6m
UNT Unimot
0.09x-1.7%zł1.2b
MAHA Mandiri Herindo Adiperkasa
1.2xn/aRp2.9t
DWGL Dwi Guna Laksana
0.7xn/aRp2.6t
LWB Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka
0.2x-1.9%zł704.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LWB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (4.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LWB's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.2x-1.3%
LWB Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka
 0.2x-1.9%US$171.31m
LWB 0.2xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies23PS00.81.62.43.24+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.2x6.7%
LWB Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka
 0.2x67.8%US$171.31m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LWB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LWB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LWB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LWB is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LWB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł20.70
zł21.51
+3.9%
14.5%zł25.80zł18.53n/a3
Dec ’25zł23.30
zł21.51
-7.7%
14.5%zł25.80zł18.53n/a3
Nov ’25zł21.60
zł17.24
-20.2%
17.8%zł20.20zł13.00n/a3
Oct ’25zł23.80
zł21.06
-11.5%
24.4%zł26.02zł13.00n/a4
Sep ’25zł24.34
zł23.41
-3.8%
19.5%zł27.00zł15.60n/a4
Aug ’25zł25.46
zł23.41
-8.1%
19.5%zł27.00zł15.60n/a4
Jul ’25zł31.24
zł22.53
-27.9%
22.1%zł27.00zł15.60n/a3
Jun ’25zł30.68
zł22.53
-26.6%
22.1%zł27.00zł15.60n/a3
May ’25zł28.74
zł23.43
-18.5%
15.9%zł27.00zł18.30n/a3
Apr ’25zł33.60
zł39.15
+16.5%
53.3%zł60.00zł18.30n/a2
Mar ’25zł33.12
zł37.10
+12.0%
46.5%zł60.00zł18.30n/a3
Feb ’25zł35.46
zł37.10
+4.6%
46.5%zł60.00zł18.30n/a3
Jan ’25zł34.02
zł39.43
+15.9%
37.7%zł60.00zł25.30n/a3
Dec ’24zł34.14
zł39.43
+15.5%
37.7%zł60.00zł25.30zł23.303
Nov ’24zł36.80
zł39.53
+7.4%
37.4%zł60.00zł25.60zł21.603
Oct ’24zł34.52
zł46.50
+34.7%
51.3%zł80.00zł26.50zł23.803
Sep ’24zł35.26
zł50.10
+42.1%
42.3%zł80.00zł33.00zł24.343
Aug ’24zł37.84
zł72.43
+91.4%
36.1%zł100.00zł37.30zł25.463
Jul ’24zł39.28
zł85.07
+116.6%
12.6%zł100.00zł75.20zł31.243
Jun ’24zł39.20
zł85.07
+117.0%
12.6%zł100.00zł75.20zł30.683
May ’24zł38.82
zł84.40
+117.4%
13.5%zł100.00zł73.20zł28.743
Apr ’24zł38.08
zł88.37
+132.1%
9.6%zł100.00zł80.00zł33.603
Mar ’24zł48.20
zł88.37
+83.3%
9.6%zł100.00zł80.00zł33.123
Feb ’24zł51.90
zł88.37
+70.3%
9.6%zł100.00zł80.00zł35.463
Jan ’24zł49.92
zł75.73
+51.7%
21.8%zł100.00zł60.00zł34.024
Dec ’23zł41.40
zł75.73
+82.9%
21.8%zł100.00zł60.00zł34.144

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 07:01
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lubelski Wegiel Bogdanka S.A. is covered by 15 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku
Maxence Patrick Le Gouvello du TimatCA Cheuvreux
Tomasz KrukowskiDeutsche Bank