Is NIKE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6
Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of NIKE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
zł406.19
Fair Value
40.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
36
Number of Analysts
Below Fair Value: NIKE (PLN242.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN406.19)
Significantly Below Fair Value: NIKE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NIKE?
Key metric: As NIKE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NIKE. This is calculated by dividing NIKE's market cap by their current
earnings.
What is NIKE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio
19.8x
Earnings
US$4.51b
Market Cap
US$89.43b
NIKE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NIKE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (16.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is NIKE's PE Ratio
compared to its
Fair PE Ratio?
This is the expected PE Ratio taking into
account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins
and other risk factors.
NIKE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio
19.8x
Fair PE Ratio
n/a
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NIKE's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
The above table shows the analyst NIKE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date
Share Price
Average 1Y Price Target
Dispersion
High
Low
1Y Actual price
Analysts
Current
zł242.30
zł275.29
+13.62%
22.99%
zł450.30
zł150.10
n/a
36
May ’26
zł217.30
zł281.02
+29.32%
22.38%
zł453.49
zł151.16
n/a
36
Apr ’26
zł255.30
zł314.26
+23.09%
20.87%
zł463.36
zł154.45
n/a
34
Mar ’26
zł324.65
zł347.95
+7.18%
18.46%
zł485.28
zł198.16
n/a
33
Feb ’26
zł311.00
zł358.68
+15.33%
17.55%
zł496.01
zł206.67
n/a
34
Jan ’26
n/a
zł354.49
0%
17.11%
zł491.89
zł204.96
n/a
34
Dec ’25
n/a
zł368.83
0%
15.16%
zł487.10
zł231.37
n/a
34
Nov ’25
n/a
zł368.90
0%
14.75%
zł483.05
zł229.45
n/a
34
Oct ’25
n/a
zł356.55
0%
15.94%
zł477.24
zł219.38
n/a
34
Sep ’25
n/a
zł349.60
0%
16.19%
zł472.59
zł228.67
n/a
34
Aug ’25
n/a
zł362.70
0%
16.97%
zł491.49
zł237.82
n/a
33
Jul ’25
n/a
zł386.80
0%
17.02%
zł519.07
zł241.43
n/a
33
Jun ’25
n/a
zł442.06
0%
12.42%
zł516.54
zł298.01
zł242.30
34
May ’25
n/a
zł452.88
0%
12.76%
zł554.82
zł302.72
zł217.30
35
Apr ’25
n/a
zł453.26
0%
12.37%
zł547.79
zł298.88
zł255.30
37
Mar ’25
n/a
zł493.56
0%
11.21%
zł571.89
zł354.41
zł324.65
37
Feb ’25
n/a
zł495.01
0%
11.55%
zł601.25
zł352.73
zł311.00
37
Jan ’25
n/a
zł484.19
0%
11.68%
zł587.15
zł344.46
n/a
36
Dec ’24
n/a
zł485.02
0%
12.96%
zł601.62
zł352.95
n/a
35
Nov ’24
n/a
zł509.93
0%
13.24%
zł631.76
zł370.63
n/a
33
Oct ’24
n/a
zł539.20
0%
13.22%
zł655.23
zł384.40
n/a
33
Sep ’24
n/a
zł531.78
0%
11.59%
zł628.29
zł380.60
n/a
33
Aug ’24
n/a
zł513.23
0%
11.69%
zł605.23
zł366.64
n/a
33
Jul ’24
n/a
zł528.54
0%
11.24%
zł617.34
zł386.17
n/a
34
Jun ’24
n/a
zł571.54
0%
11.56%
zł672.27
zł399.16
n/a
33
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 36 Analysts
zł293.37
Fair Value
17.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
36
Number of Analysts
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data
Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis
2025/06/02 06:28
End of Day Share Price
2025/05/29 00:00
Earnings
2025/02/28
Annual Earnings
2024/05/31
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
NIKE, Inc. is covered by 81 analysts. 37 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.