adidas Valuation

Is ADS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADS (PLN939) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN1133.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADS is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ADS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA49.7x
PEG Ratio11.4x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ADS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ADS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.1x
LPP LPP
1.7x16.4%zł29.1b
VRG VRG
0.6x6.7%zł773.7m
KER Kering
2.1x4.8%€40.3b
2020 ANTA Sports Products
3.9x10.5%HK$265.0b
ADS adidas
1.9x7.9%zł40.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ADS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (2.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ADS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.9x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ADS's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
zł963.73
0%
13.4%zł1,196.02zł650.01n/a28
Apr ’25n/a
zł848.33
0%
15.6%zł991.13zł409.38n/a28
Mar ’25zł808.40
zł798.55
-1.2%
16.3%zł991.24zł409.43n/a29
Feb ’25zł693.40
zł804.09
+16.0%
16.2%zł992.58zł409.98n/a29
Jan ’25n/a
zł803.11
0%
16.2%zł988.43zł429.75n/a30
Dec ’24n/a
zł804.33
0%
15.3%zł962.35zł437.43n/a30
Nov ’24zł747.70
zł817.84
+9.4%
17.8%zł1,048.63zł401.60n/a30
Oct ’24n/a
zł850.29
0%
18.2%zł1,090.18zł417.52n/a29
Sep ’24n/a
zł810.95
0%
18.7%zł1,052.81zł403.21n/a30
Aug ’24zł825.90
zł772.35
-6.5%
19.3%zł992.74zł375.04n/a29
Jul ’24zł792.00
zł725.03
-8.5%
19.4%zł960.91zł378.13n/a28
Jun ’24n/a
zł707.10
0%
20.6%zł933.32zł341.96n/a30
May ’24n/a
zł674.14
0%
20.7%zł915.26zł343.22n/a29
Apr ’24n/a
zł673.80
0%
19.7%zł917.32zł351.02n/a29
Mar ’24n/a
zł632.91
0%
22.2%zł964.31zł327.04zł808.4030
Feb ’24n/a
zł650.13
0%
20.4%zł917.91zł356.15zł693.4031
Jan ’24n/a
zł626.69
0%
22.0%zł914.52zł354.83n/a31
Dec ’23n/a
zł624.97
0%
22.2%zł914.88zł354.97n/a31
Nov ’23n/a
zł624.00
0%
31.0%zł1,278.16zł410.48zł747.7030
Oct ’23n/a
zł933.85
0%
24.8%zł1,627.68zł574.48n/a30
Sep ’23n/a
zł958.04
0%
23.1%zł1,604.58zł566.32n/a30
Aug ’23n/a
zł996.17
0%
25.7%zł1,610.26zł568.33zł825.9031
Jul ’23n/a
zł1,181.31
0%
20.8%zł1,634.45zł637.72zł792.0031
Jun ’23n/a
zł1,192.88
0%
19.8%zł1,610.20zł628.25n/a31
May ’23n/a
zł1,301.70
0%
17.1%zł1,628.99zł631.95n/a31

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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