Last week's profit announcement from Mirbud S.A. (WSE:MRB) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline numbers being robust. Our analysis uncovered some concerning factors that we believe the market might be paying attention to.
Check out our latest analysis for Mirbud
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, Mirbud issued 20% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Mirbud's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
How Is Dilution Impacting Mirbud's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
As you can see above, Mirbud has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 66% over three years. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 51% over the same period. And the 48% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 35% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Mirbud shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Mirbud's Profit Performance
Mirbud shareholders should keep in mind how many new shares it is issuing, because, dilution clearly has the power to severely impact shareholder returns. Because of this, we think that it may be that Mirbud's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 51% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Mirbud you should be aware of.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Mirbud's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:MRB
Mirbud
Operates as a general contractor in the construction industry in Poland.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.