Despite an already strong run, Atrem S.A. (WSE:ATR) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 35% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 103% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Atrem's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Construction industry in Poland, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Atrem
How Has Atrem Performed Recently?
Atrem hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Atrem's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Atrem?
Atrem's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.0%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 53% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 24% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.3% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's curious that Atrem's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Atrem's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Looking at Atrem's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Atrem (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:ATR
Atrem
Operates as a general contractor and a subcontractor for the construction companies in Poland.
Outstanding track record with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.