Engro Fertilizers Limited

KASE:EFERT Stock Report

Market Cap: PK₨260.8b

Engro Fertilizers Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Engro Fertilizers is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 17.7% and 6.3% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 17.3% per annum.

Key information

17.7%

Earnings growth rate

17.34%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals earnings growth27.2%
Revenue growth rate6.3%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated31 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jun 25

EFERT: Future Upside Will Rely On Stable Margins And New CEO Appointment

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Engro Fertilizers slightly to PKR 245.62 from PKR 248.09, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, and future P/E, without major changes to revenue growth or profit margin estimates. What's in the News Engro Fertilizers approved the appointment of Imran Ahmed as Chief Executive Officer for the remainder of the current term, effective from May 11, 2026.
Narrative Update • Jun 03

EFERT: Future Upside Will Rely On Stable Margins Through CEO Transition

Analysts have trimmed their average 12 month price target for Engro Fertilizers from PKR 254.17 to PKR 248.09, citing slightly lower fair value estimates and a modestly reduced future P/E assumption, while keeping revenue growth and profit margin expectations broadly unchanged. What's in the News The board approved the appointment of Mr. Imran Ahmed as Chief Executive Officer of Engro Fertilizers for the remainder of the current term, with his joining date set for May 11, 2026.
Narrative Update • May 16

EFERT: Future Upside Will Depend On Margins Through CEO Succession

Analysts have kept their PKR 254.17 price target on Engro Fertilizers unchanged, citing only small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that did not materially affect their overall valuation view. What's in the News Engro Fertilizers approved the appointment of Imran Ahmed as CEO for the remainder of the current board term, with his joining date set for May 11, 2026 (company announcement).
Narrative Update • Apr 30

EFERT: Future Upside Will Depend On Strong Margins Through Leadership Transition

Analysts have kept the PKR 254.17 price target for Engro Fertilizers unchanged, citing a mix of slightly higher discount rate assumptions, a lower revenue growth outlook of 5.48%, improved profit margin expectations of 14.78%, and a reduced future P/E assumption of 15.95x that together balance out in their valuation. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for Apr 20, 2026 at 09:15 Pakistan Standard Time to review first quarter financial statements for the period ended Mar 31, 2026 and to consider any entitlement declaration, if announced (company announcement).
Narrative Update • Apr 16

EFERT: Future Upside Will Rely On Stable Margins And Leadership Transition

Analysts have maintained their PKR 254.17 price target for Engro Fertilizers, with only slight tweaks to the discount rate and forward P/E assumptions, signaling a broadly unchanged view of the stock’s valuation drivers. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 09:15 Pakistan Standard Time to review first quarter financial statements for the period ended March 31, 2026 and to consider any potential entitlement declaration, if any (company announcement).
Narrative Update • Apr 01

EFERT: Future Upside Will Depend On Stable Margins And Dividend Decision

Analysts have raised their price target on Engro Fertilizers from PKR 236.60 to PKR 254.17. They cite updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples as the main drivers of the revised valuation.
Narrative Update • Feb 04

EFERT: Fair Outlook Will Depend On Stable Margins And Upcoming Dividend Decision

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Engro Fertilizers at 236.6 per share. They cite only marginal model adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions that do not materially change their overall price target view.
Narrative Update • Jan 21

EFERT: Fair Outlook Will Rely On Stable Margins And Steady P/E

Analysts have kept their price target for Engro Fertilizers broadly unchanged at PKR 236.6, citing steady assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the basis for maintaining their view. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is held steady at PKR 236.6, with no change between the previous and updated estimates.
Narrative Update • Jan 07

EFERT: Fair Outlook Will Balance Higher Revenue Assumptions With Tighter Margins

Analysts now place their fair value estimate for Engro Fertilizers at 236.6, up from 225.2, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that together support a higher price target, while keeping the discount rate broadly unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate raised from PKR 225.2 to PKR 236.6, reflecting the updated modelling inputs.
New Narrative • Aug 24

Operational Efficiency And Digital Expansion Will Shape Pakistan Agriculture

Key Takeaways Operational efficiencies and disciplined cost management are strengthening margins and profitability, despite challenges in industry volumes and input costs. Expansion in digital platforms and strategic retail initiatives are deepening farmer engagement, enhancing distribution, and supporting resilient or growing revenue streams.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

KASE:EFERT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (PKR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027272,10032,174N/AN/A1
12/31/2026247,97630,093N/AN/A1
3/31/2026244,63523,0489,64234,924N/A
12/31/2025237,13122,62813,41827,862N/A
9/30/2025220,28424,5544,41912,708N/A
6/30/2025224,16027,2982,1549,072N/A
3/31/2025213,17723,398-21,716-13,938N/A
12/31/2024256,67528,260-13,174-3,947N/A
9/30/2024247,01929,127-23,698-15,142N/A
6/30/2024254,54330,15325,24433,276N/A
3/31/2024253,49729,54741,16447,862N/A
12/31/2023223,70526,19154,38060,555N/A
9/30/2023194,67221,45348,63355,472N/A
6/30/2023164,24716,05422,81631,013N/A
3/31/2023164,19514,89618,76726,341N/A
12/31/2022157,01716,00323,25731,634N/A
9/30/2022150,49715,76717,09226,316N/A
6/30/2022152,14015,9978,41220,580N/A
3/31/2022139,73220,86312,69625,637N/A
12/31/2021132,36321,0935,81416,381N/A
9/30/2021120,45021,56319,38829,759N/A
6/30/2021120,50324,18631,16337,185N/A
3/31/2021124,49823,30449,52454,678N/A
12/31/2020105,84618,13346,20651,470N/A
9/30/2020121,74417,81528,05431,307N/A
6/30/2020111,41514,14418,93722,343N/A
3/31/2020108,49413,39912,93516,811N/A
12/31/2019121,35516,835N/A21,989N/A
9/30/2019117,73115,657N/A41,477N/A
6/30/2019118,72317,404N/A24,141N/A
3/31/2019114,63017,513N/A26,277N/A
12/31/2018109,19717,396N/A23,405N/A
9/30/201897,87116,481N/A17,732N/A
6/30/201890,93514,179N/A36,502N/A
3/31/201885,28413,408N/A25,245N/A
12/31/201777,12911,156N/A22,784N/A
9/30/201777,10010,462N/A21,874N/A
6/30/201774,57110,583N/A14,899N/A
3/31/201767,7228,800N/A12,347N/A
12/31/201669,5379,283N/A1,047N/A
9/30/201674,05510,974N/A9,875N/A
6/30/201669,39610,781N/A-6,813N/A
3/31/201679,62713,882N/A2,603N/A
12/31/201585,42114,819N/A7,048N/A
9/30/201570,01012,287N/A-558N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: EFERT's forecast earnings growth (17.7% per year) is above the savings rate (12.9%).

Earnings vs Market: EFERT's earnings (17.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the PK market (9.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: EFERT's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: EFERT's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the PK market (8.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: EFERT's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if EFERT's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/08 05:02
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/08 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Engro Fertilizers Limited is covered by 15 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Usama Rauf GurmaniAKD Research
null nullArif Habib Limited
null nullInsight Securities (Private) Limited