Goodluck Industries Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of GIL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

GIL (PKR1046.2) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (PKR12.08)

Is GIL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GIL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GIL (PKR1046.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (PKR12.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GIL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GIL?

Key metric: As GIL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GIL. This is calculated by dividing GIL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GIL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	52.3x
Earnings	PK₨6.00m
Market Cap	PK₨313.86m

GIL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	11.5x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GIL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GIL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	4x
SANSM Sanghar Sugar Mills	5x	n/a	PK₨242.6m
ADAMS Adam Sugar Mills	3x	n/a	PK₨881.8m
JSML Jauharabad Sugar Mills	3.4x	n/a	PK₨818.7m
SHJS Shahtaj Sugar Mills	4.8x	n/a	PK₨1.2b
GIL Goodluck Industries	52.3x	n/a	PK₨313.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GIL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.3x) compared to the peer average (4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GIL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the PK Food Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GIL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (52.3x) compared to the PK Food industry average (8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GIL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GIL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	52.3x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GIL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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