First Gen Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

First Gen is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 7.7% and 4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.5% in 3 years.

Key information

7.7%

Earnings growth rate

7.9%

EPS growth rate

Renewable Energy earnings growth	15.3%
Revenue growth rate	4.0%
Future return on equity	9.5%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	14 Oct 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

PSE:FGEN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	2,744	353	90	N/A	1
12/31/2025	2,773	350	80	N/A	1
12/31/2024	2,690	301	-514	N/A	2
6/30/2024	2,466	299	-266	766	N/A
3/31/2024	2,419	301	-365	598	N/A
12/31/2023	2,475	312	353	752	N/A
9/30/2023	2,562	321	448	703	N/A
6/30/2023	2,680	305	472	686	N/A
3/31/2023	2,748	286	669	899	N/A
12/31/2022	2,667	257	398	647	N/A
9/30/2022	2,556	226	296	619	N/A
6/30/2022	2,386	225	343	682	N/A
3/31/2022	2,254	227	265	607	N/A
12/31/2021	2,167	249	556	876	N/A
9/30/2021	2,074	282	663	937	N/A
6/30/2021	1,946	276	652	893	N/A
3/31/2021	1,832	280	576	759	N/A
12/31/2020	1,830	259	454	602	N/A
9/30/2020	1,898	255	458	565	N/A
6/30/2020	1,981	247	546	644	N/A
3/31/2020	2,099	263	667	781	N/A
12/31/2019	2,151	279	643	763	N/A
9/30/2019	2,132	276	712	830	N/A
6/30/2019	2,125	285	664	778	N/A
3/31/2019	2,043	243	579	686	N/A
12/31/2018	1,979	199	577	673	N/A
9/30/2018	1,892	157	489	604	N/A
6/30/2018	1,820	133	473	603	N/A
3/31/2018	1,749	105	N/A	588	N/A
12/31/2017	1,708	106	N/A	614	N/A
9/30/2017	1,665	99	N/A	537	N/A
6/30/2017	1,608	116	N/A	596	N/A
3/31/2017	1,570	153	N/A	648	N/A
12/31/2016	1,561	169	N/A	612	N/A
9/30/2016	1,611	191	N/A	691	N/A
6/30/2016	1,675	153	N/A	624	N/A
3/31/2016	1,757	142	N/A	668	N/A
12/31/2015	1,836	132	N/A	697	N/A
9/30/2015	1,876	108	N/A	648	N/A
6/30/2015	1,932	147	N/A	680	N/A
3/31/2015	1,946	158	N/A	636	N/A
12/31/2014	1,903	153	N/A	589	N/A
9/30/2014	1,912	122	N/A	564	N/A
6/30/2014	1,856	121	N/A	608	N/A
3/31/2014	1,867	85	N/A	497	N/A
12/31/2013	1,905	76	N/A	492	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: FGEN's forecast earnings growth (7.7% per year) is above the savings rate (5.2%).

Earnings vs Market: FGEN's earnings (7.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the PH market (11.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: FGEN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: FGEN's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the PH market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: FGEN's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: FGEN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.5%).

First Gen Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

Consensus forecasts updated

First Gen Corporation Provides Update on the 414MW San Gabriel Combined Cycle Power Plant

Recent updates

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.021 (vs US$0.02 in 2Q 2023)

Now 25% undervalued after recent price drop

Upcoming dividend of ₱0.45 per share

Dividend of ₱0.45 announced

First Gen Corporation Declares Cash Dividend, Payable on July 9, 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.022 (vs US$0.025 in 1Q 2023)

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

First Gen Corporation, Annual General Meeting, May 31, 2024

Upcoming dividend of ₱0.50 per share at 2.8% yield

First Gen Corporation Declares Dividend on Common Shares, Payable on December 22, 2023

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.023 (vs US$0.018 in 3Q 2022)

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.021 (vs US$0.016 in 2Q 2022)

First Gen Corporation Announces the Resignation of Richard B. Tantoco as Executive Vice President

Upcoming dividend of ₱0.40 per share at 4.3% yield

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

First Gen Corporation Approves Board Changes

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.025 (vs US$0.017 in 1Q 2022)

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

First Gen Corporation, Annual General Meeting, May 17, 2023

Insider recently bought ₱205k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of ₱0.42 per share

First Gen Corporation Approves Cash Dividends, Payable on January 10, 2023

Less than half of directors are independent

Chairman Emeritus recently sold ₱82m worth of stock

Second quarter 2022 earnings released

Upcoming dividend of ₱0.35 per share

First Gen Corporation Announces Board Changes

First quarter 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Less than half of directors are independent

Consensus forecasts updated

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

First Gen Corporation Appoints Jay Joel L. Soriano as Vice President and Head of Strategy and Planning

Executive VP & Executive Director recently sold ₱3.0m worth of stock

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.018 (vs US$0.016 in 3Q 2020)

Insider recently sold ₱9.9m worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.017 (vs US$0.018 in 2Q 2020)

Executive VP & Executive Director recently sold ₱3.2m worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of ₱0.30 per share

Lead Independent Director has left the company

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.023 (vs US$0.017 in 1Q 2020)

First Gen Corporation Provides Update on the 414MW San Gabriel Combined Cycle Power Plant

Insider recently sold ₱4.0m worth of stock

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

New 90-day high: ₱31.05

First Gen Corporation Announces Changes to Its Board

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS US$0.014

New 90-day high: ₱29.40

First Gen Corporation Announces Resignation of Eugenio L. Lopez III as Director

First half earnings released

KKR Asia Pacific Infrastructure Investors SCSP managed by Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. L.P completed the acquisition of 11.87% stake in First Gen Corporation (PSE:FGEN) for PHP 9.6 billion

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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