Acen Valuation

Is ACEN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ACEN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ACEN (₱4.38) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₱0.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ACEN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACEN?

Key metric: As ACEN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ACEN. This is calculated by dividing ACEN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ACEN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.9x
Earnings₱8.33b
Market Cap₱177.75b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ACEN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ACEN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.6x
AP Aboitiz Power
8.1x7.4%₱272.0b
FGEN First Gen
3.8x11.5%₱61.2b
LPZ Lopez Holdings
5.2xn/a₱12.9b
VVT Vivant
9.1xn/a₱17.4b
ACEN Acen
20.9x16.4%₱173.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ACEN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the peer average (6.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ACEN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Renewable Energy Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ACEN 20.9xIndustry Avg. 14.1xNo. of Companies23PE01020304050+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ACEN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the Asian Renewable Energy industry average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACEN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACEN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.9x
Fair PE Ratio12.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ACEN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ACEN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₱4.38
₱6.10
+39.3%
20.0%₱8.00₱4.70n/a5
Nov ’25₱4.97
₱6.10
+22.7%
20.0%₱8.00₱4.70n/a5
Oct ’25₱5.41
₱6.10
+12.8%
20.0%₱8.00₱4.70n/a5
Sep ’25₱5.44
₱6.10
+12.1%
20.0%₱8.00₱4.70n/a5
Aug ’25₱5.49
₱6.45
+17.5%
13.4%₱8.00₱5.20n/a7
Jul ’25₱4.98
₱6.18
+24.0%
16.5%₱8.00₱4.50n/a7
Jun ’25₱4.80
₱6.18
+28.7%
16.5%₱8.00₱4.50n/a7
May ’25₱4.15
₱6.35
+53.0%
15.7%₱8.00₱4.50n/a7
Apr ’25₱3.86
₱6.52
+68.9%
14.9%₱8.00₱4.50n/a7
Mar ’25₱4.15
₱6.52
+57.1%
14.9%₱8.00₱4.50n/a7
Feb ’25₱4.25
₱6.52
+53.5%
4.8%₱6.90₱6.00n/a6
Jan ’25₱4.38
₱6.53
+49.0%
19.9%₱7.90₱3.77n/a6
Dec ’24₱4.81
₱6.87
+42.8%
19.8%₱8.00₱3.77n/a7
Nov ’24₱5.30
₱6.87
+29.6%
19.8%₱8.00₱3.77₱4.977
Oct ’24₱4.91
₱6.83
+39.2%
23.4%₱8.00₱3.77₱5.415
Sep ’24₱5.06
₱6.83
+35.0%
23.4%₱8.00₱3.77₱5.445
Aug ’24₱5.12
₱7.01
+37.0%
25.2%₱8.90₱3.77₱5.495
Jul ’24₱5.39
₱7.09
+31.6%
27.7%₱8.90₱3.77₱4.984
Jun ’24₱5.98
₱7.07
+18.3%
25.5%₱8.90₱3.77₱4.806
May ’24₱6.01
₱7.07
+17.7%
25.5%₱8.90₱3.77₱4.156
Apr ’24₱6.12
₱7.44
+21.5%
28.7%₱10.10₱3.77₱3.866
Mar ’24₱6.31
₱7.66
+21.3%
30.4%₱10.20₱3.77₱4.156
Feb ’24₱7.50
₱7.17
-4.5%
31.4%₱10.20₱3.77₱4.255
Jan ’24₱7.62
₱7.27
-4.6%
32.4%₱10.50₱3.77₱4.385
Dec ’23₱7.45
₱7.27
-2.5%
32.4%₱10.50₱3.77₱4.815
Nov ’23₱6.25
₱7.17
+14.6%
33.9%₱10.50₱3.77₱5.305

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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