MacroAsia Valuation

Is MAC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MAC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MAC (₱6.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (₱11.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MAC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MAC?

Key metric: As MAC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MAC. This is calculated by dividing MAC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MAC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.7x
Earnings₱1.25b
Market Cap₱12.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MAC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MAC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.6x
CEB Cebu Air
3.4x8.7%₱18.7b
ATI Asian Terminals
8.2xn/a₱36.0b
TYA Toscana Aeroporti
18.2xn/a€255.0m
ADB Aeroporto Guglielmo Marconi di Bologna
12.5x-6.9%€269.5m
MAC MacroAsia
9.7x15.8%₱12.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MAC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.7x) compared to the peer average (10.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MAC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Infrastructure Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MAC 9.7xIndustry Avg. 13.9xNo. of Companies21PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MAC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.7x) compared to the Asian Infrastructure industry average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MAC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MAC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.7x
Fair PE Ratio7.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MAC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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