Cebu Air, Inc.

PSE:CEB Stock Report

Market Cap: ₱20.0b

Cebu Air Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Cebu Air's earnings are forecast to decline at 16.6% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 9.2% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 37.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 27.3% in 3 years.

Key information

-16.6%

Earnings growth rate

-37.59%

EPS growth rate

Airlines earnings growth24.8%
Revenue growth rate9.2%
Future return on equity27.25%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated25 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

CEB: Rising Passenger Volumes And Load Factors Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have kept their Cebu Air fair value estimate steady at ₱67.00, with only small tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and forward P/E assumptions shaping the updated price target rationale. What's in the News Cebu Air reported that Cebu Pacific carried 2.46 million passengers in March 2026, an 11.5% increase versus the same month in 2025, with a seat load factor of 82.1% and seat capacity of 3.0 million seats (Announcement of Operating Results).

CEB: Rising Passenger Volumes And Firm Load Factors Will Support Future Upside

Cebu Air's analyst price target remains at ₱67.00. Analysts attribute the unchanged valuation to slightly lower assumed revenue growth and profit margins, combined with a higher future P/E multiple.

CEB: Rising Passenger Volumes And Firm Load Factors Will Drive Share Upside

Analysts kept their Cebu Air price target steady at ₱67.00. They pointed to a slightly higher assumed revenue growth rate and a marginally lower profit margin, along with a small uptick in the future P/E estimate, as key inputs behind the unchanged view.

CEB: Rising Passenger Volumes And Load Factors Will Support Further Upside

Analysts kept their Cebu Air fair value estimate steady at ₱57.5 per share, reflecting unchanged assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E and indicating that recent research has not shifted their overall price target view. What's in the News Cebu Air reported January 2026 traffic data, with Cebu Pacific carrying over 2,732,000 passengers as seat capacity rose to 3,268,000 seats and system seat load factor was 83.6% (company announcement of operating results).

CEB: Rising Passenger Volumes And Load Factors Will Support Further Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cebu Air slightly higher to ₱57.50 from ₱57, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth and future P/E, while keeping profit margin expectations broadly in line. What's in the News Cebu Air reported that Cebu Pacific carried over 2,732,000 passengers in January 2026, with system seat load factor at 83.6% and total seats at 3,268,000 for the month (Announcement of Operating Results, January 2026).

CEB: Passenger Volume And Load Factors Will Support Further Share Upside

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Cebu Air from ₱66 to ₱67, linking the change to updated assumptions that include a revised discount rate, slightly higher projected revenue growth, an adjusted future P/E multiple, and a modest tweak to expected profit margins. What's in the News Cebu Air reported traffic results for December 2025, with Cebu Pacific carrying over 2.7 million passengers, a 5.1% increase from the same month in 2024, on 6.9% higher seat capacity and an overall seat load factor of 83.8% (company operating results announcement).

CEB: Rising Passenger Volumes And Load Factors Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Cebu Air steady at ₱57.0, reflecting unchanged assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, and view this as consistent with their existing assessment of the stock. What's in the News Cebu Air reported that Cebu Pacific carried over 2.7 million passengers in December 2025, with an overall seat load factor of 83.8% and seat capacity higher by 6.9% year on year (company announcement of operating results).

CEB: Strong Traffic And Load Factors Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Cebu Air steady at ₱57.00 per share. This reflects unchanged assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, and indicates that new information has not prompted a revision to their prior price target view.

CEB: Passenger Momentum And Raised Earnings Outlook Will Support Further Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target on Cebu Air higher, lifting fair value by PHP 4 to PHP 66.00 as they factor in slightly stronger revenue growth expectations despite a modestly higher discount rate and softer profit margin assumptions. What's in the News November 2025 monthly passenger traffic declined to 2.14 million from 2.36 million a year earlier, and seat load factor eased to 81.8% from 83.2% (company traffic update).

CEB: Rising Traffic And Capacity Recovery Will Drive Stronger Prospects

Narrative Update on Cebu Air Analyst Price Target Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Cebu Air from PHP 55 to PHP 57, citing slightly stronger expected revenue growth that more than offsets a modest uptick in the discount rate and a marginally softer projected profit margin and valuation multiple. What's in the News October 2025 traffic update shows stable demand, with 2.081 million passengers carried, nearly flat year on year, while RPK grew to 2,234 million as ASK expanded to 2,932 million.
User avatar

New Aircraft Will Expand Operations But Pose Financial Challenges

The acquisition of AirSWIFT and fleet modernization enhance CEB's network and fuel efficiency, driving potential passenger revenue and margin expansion.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

PSE:CEB - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (PHP Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027144,2578,61922,68341,1772
12/31/2026130,8078,0477,69038,1312
12/31/2025119,92811,761-2,38627,079N/A
9/30/2025117,98010,952-4,25026,331N/A
6/30/2025116,80310,122-6,11830,022N/A
3/31/2025110,0282,923-13,49928,255N/A
12/31/2024104,9094,695-24,46825,069N/A
9/30/202498,2385,564-18,04220,078N/A
6/30/202498,4917,014-24,59616,629N/A
3/31/202495,0288,379-25,62912,337N/A
12/31/202390,6037,217-13,04517,454N/A
9/30/202386,1142,383-7,44514,169N/A
6/30/202379,621-1,262-12813,930N/A
3/31/202370,920-5,8253,90316,677N/A
12/31/202256,751-14,6952,07711,860N/A
9/30/202244,125-15,66889411,606N/A
6/30/202230,518-21,323-1877,246N/A
3/31/202219,740-25,930-6,990-1,417N/A
12/31/202115,741-25,449-11,286-5,779N/A
9/30/202112,426-29,913-14,833-11,901N/A
6/30/202111,188-27,257-17,395-14,308N/A
3/31/20219,413-28,542-20,457-17,010N/A
12/31/202022,618-22,236-18,309-14,264N/A
9/30/202040,524-12,332-21,599-3,178N/A
6/30/202057,438-7,164-13,9296,789N/A
3/31/202079,5434,584-3,35318,757N/A
12/31/201984,8079,1233,67429,244N/A
9/30/201983,7027,911N/A25,431N/A
6/30/201980,9827,769N/A22,410N/A
3/31/201977,0315,842N/A19,275N/A
12/31/201874,1143,923N/A15,287N/A
9/30/201871,7356,312N/A16,303N/A
6/30/201870,2086,873N/A17,540N/A
3/31/201869,4268,062N/A19,287N/A
12/31/201768,0297,908N/A17,795N/A
9/30/201765,5397,032N/A16,333N/A
6/30/201764,4626,406N/A15,652N/A
3/31/201762,6577,001N/A17,814N/A
12/31/201661,8999,754N/A19,322N/A
9/30/201660,9347,929N/A19,117N/A
6/30/201660,0896,868N/A18,211N/A
3/31/201658,4096,199N/A14,952N/A
12/31/201556,5024,387N/A12,395N/A
9/30/201555,8132,330N/A12,796N/A
6/30/201554,7892,876N/A9,846N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CEB's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-16.6% per year).

Earnings vs Market: CEB's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-16.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CEB's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CEB's revenue (9.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the PH market (8.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CEB's revenue (9.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CEB's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (27.3%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/02 04:35
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/30 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Cebu Air, Inc. is covered by 15 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Caroline VergaraBofA Global Research
Kok Hoe YapCGS International
Rigan WongCitigroup Inc