Ayala Land, Inc.

PSE:ALI Stock Report

Market Cap: ₱227.8b

Ayala Land Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Ayala Land's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 1.3% and 10% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 10.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.2% in 3 years.

Key information

-10.0%

Earnings growth rate

-10.11%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth0.4%
Revenue growth rate-1.3%
Future return on equity8.17%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated19 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jul 01

ALI: Lower Profit Outlook And Dividend Plans Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have cut their fair value estimate for Ayala Land from ₱27.00 to ₱15.50, citing softer revenue growth assumptions, lower projected profit margins, and a modest adjustment to the future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Ayala Land A board meeting is scheduled for May 26, 2026, with an agenda to consider cash dividends, according to company disclosures.
Narrative Update • Jun 17

ALI: 2026 Dividend Plans And Capital Changes Will Drive Long Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Ayala Land to ₱25.75 from ₱27.42, citing lower revenue growth expectations and a slightly softer profit margin outlook, even though the assumed discount rate and future P/E remain broadly similar. What’s in the News for Ayala Land Ayala Land’s board scheduled a meeting on May 26, 2026 to consider cash dividends, according to company disclosures.
Narrative Update • Jun 03

ALI: 2026 Dividend Plans Will Support Long Term Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Ayala Land from ₱31.50 to ₱27.42, citing softer revenue growth assumptions, slightly lower profit margin expectations, a reduced discount rate, and a marginally lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for May 26, 2026 to consider cash dividends, according to company disclosures.
Narrative Update • Apr 20

ALI: Debt Funding And 2026 Dividends Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Ayala Land from ₱32.05 to approximately ₱31.50. This reflects updated assumptions that incorporate a slightly higher discount rate, reduced revenue growth expectations, a modestly lower profit margin, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Apr 05

ALI: Debt Funding Plan And 2026 Dividends Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Ayala Land at ₱32.05 per share, with only slight tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate and assumed future P/E. This keeps the overall price target effectively unchanged.
Narrative Update • Mar 22

ALI: Planned Debt Raise And Dividends Will Support Future Upside

Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Ayala Land steady at ₱32.05, with a slightly higher discount rate and a modestly higher assumed future P/E multiple shaping the latest price target update. What's in the News The Board plans to seek approval to raise up to ₱40 billion via retail bonds, corporate notes, listings on the Philippine Dealing and Exchange Corporation, and/or bilateral term loans, mainly for debt refinancing and partial funding of general corporate needs, with a tenor of up to 10 years (Board meeting agenda, Feb 20, 2026).
Narrative Update • Mar 07

ALI: Planned Debt Funding And Dividends Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Ayala Land slightly from ₱32.36 to ₱32.05, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that point to a more measured outlook for the company’s fair value. What's in the News The board scheduled a meeting on February 20, 2026 to consider raising up to ₱40b in funding with tenors of up to 10 years through retail bonds, corporate notes, listings on the Philippine Dealing and Exchange Corporation, and bilateral term loans, mainly for debt refinancing and partial funding of general corporate needs (company board meeting).
Narrative Update • Feb 20

ALI: Planned Debt Raise And Steady Margins Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Ayala Land to ₱32.36 from ₱33.28, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, modest revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News A board meeting on February 20, 2026 will consider raising up to ₱40 billion in funding with a tenor of up to 10 years through retail bonds, corporate notes, listing on the Philippine Dealing and Exchange Corporation, and/or bilateral term loans, primarily for debt refinancing and partial funding of general corporate requirements (Key Developments).
New Narrative • Feb 08

Leasing And Hospitality Headwinds Will Persist But Long Term Recurring Income Will Eventually Strengthen

Catalysts About Ayala Land Ayala Land is a diversified Philippine real estate company engaged in residential development, commercial leasing, hospitality, estates, industrial facilities and related services. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Feb 06

ALI: Stable Fair Value And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Ayala Land to ₱33.28. This reflects a slightly lower applied discount rate and a modestly reduced future P/E assumption, while keeping revenue growth and profit margin expectations essentially unchanged.
New Narrative • Jan 22

Mall, Office And Hospitality Expansion Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About Ayala Land Ayala Land is a Philippine real estate company with businesses across residential development, malls, offices, hotels, resorts and industrial properties. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update • Jan 21

ALI: Regular Cash Dividends And Higher Fair Value Will Support Upside

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Ayala Land to ₱33.28 from ₱32.37, reflecting refreshed assumptions around the discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled on October 29, 2025 to consider the declaration of a regular cash dividend of ₱0.2928 per common share for the second half of 2025 (company disclosure) Board approval of a regular cash dividend of ₱0.2928 per common share for the second half of 2025 at the October 28, 2025 meeting, with record date on November 12, 2025 and payment date on November 26, 2025 (company disclosure) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate is now at ₱33.28 per share, compared with the previous ₱32.37.
Narrative Update • Jan 07

ALI: Regular Cash Dividends Will Support Share Price Upside Into Late 2025

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Ayala Land steady at ₱32.37 per share, with only slight model adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that reflect refinements rather than a change in their overall view. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled on October 29, 2025 to consider the declaration of a regular cash dividend of ₱0.2928 per common share for the second half of 2025 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Dec 22

ALI: Regular Cash Dividends Will Support Share Price Upside Into Late 2025

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Ayala Land to PHP 32.37 from PHP 32.83, citing marginally softer expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, even though the discount rate has been modestly reduced and a slightly higher future P/E multiple has been assumed. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for October 29, 2025, to consider declaration of a regular cash dividend of PHP 0.2928 per common share for the second half of 2025 (Key Developments) Board approved a regular cash dividend of PHP 0.2928 per common share for the second half of 2025 at the October 28, 2025, meeting, with record date on November 12, 2025, and payment date on November 26, 2025 (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value: Lowered slightly to ₱32.37 from ₱32.83, reflecting a modest reduction of about 1.4 percent.
Narrative Update • Dec 08

ALI: Regular Dividend Will Support Share Price Momentum Into Late 2025

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Ayala Land by roughly 5 percent to about ₱32.83 per share, reflecting expectations of slower revenue growth and slightly softer profit margins, despite a marginally lower discount rate and modestly reduced future P E assumptions. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for October 29, 2025 to consider the declaration of a regular cash dividend of PHP 0.2928 per common share for the second half of 2025 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Nov 24

ALI: Regular Cash Dividend Will Support Share Price Momentum Into Late 2025

Analysts have revised their price target for Ayala Land downward from ₱36.58 to ₱34.70. They cite updated expectations for profitability, revenue growth, and valuation multiples as reasons for the change.
Narrative Update • Nov 02

ALI: Dividend Hike And Quezon City Acquisition Will Drive Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Ayala Land from ₱35.90 to ₱36.58, citing modest improvements in profit margin expectations as well as a slight adjustment to projected growth and discount rates. What's in the News Ayala Land's Board of Directors approved a regular cash dividend of PHP 0.2928 per common share for the second half of 2025.
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New Narrative • Nov 27

Mega Infrastructure And Global Marketing Leap To Drive Dynamic Growth

Strategic expansion in high-demand areas and residential segments is poised to boost sales, bookings, and revenue growth.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

PSE:ALI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (PHP Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028173,60727,659-8,18658,0795
12/31/2027174,11628,5853,09161,3939
12/31/2026163,13726,6476,90631,6159
3/31/2026184,13937,46213,19222,623N/A
12/31/2025190,21139,04218,38928,986N/A
9/30/2025177,35628,37539,37246,176N/A
6/30/2025179,53329,19733,43938,649N/A
3/31/2025183,28728,80830,34037,338N/A
12/31/2024180,73828,15426,38831,212N/A
9/30/2024175,15327,19513,06516,637N/A
6/30/2024167,12426,16623,41124,773N/A
3/31/2024158,95626,20829,75431,349N/A
12/31/2023148,85724,42919,54021,360N/A
9/30/2023139,16123,6059,85117,295N/A
6/30/2023139,22521,86812,00418,776N/A
3/31/2023132,84619,9009,92215,240N/A
12/31/2022126,55618,55521,92426,348N/A
9/30/2022119,85016,92010,50114,275N/A
6/30/2022110,52414,20413,44216,410N/A
3/31/2022106,12112,55510,05013,125N/A
12/31/2021106,14312,1664,7117,926N/A
9/30/2021105,55610,88727,01026,427N/A
6/30/2021104,03110,18816,82917,245N/A
3/31/202192,5097,1235,8307,661N/A
12/31/202096,2738,665-15,606-12,507N/A
9/30/2020110,45816,28311,24616,717N/A
6/30/2020126,77622,4883,10911,122N/A
3/31/2020157,51630,126-6,7544,568N/A
12/31/2019168,79433,126N/A36,012N/A
9/30/2019170,01231,619N/A-8,645N/A
6/30/2019170,86330,798N/A-16,038N/A
3/31/2019170,74329,984N/A2,624N/A
12/31/2018166,18629,179N/A11,768N/A
9/30/2018159,05928,203N/A577N/A
6/30/2018154,07527,269N/A25,763N/A
3/31/2018143,21926,196N/A28,592N/A
12/31/2017140,99925,243N/A24,234N/A
9/30/2017136,28823,595N/A63,105N/A
6/30/2017132,62622,618N/A44,395N/A
3/31/2017127,69521,702N/A40,017N/A
12/31/2016123,26620,846N/A33,688N/A
9/30/2016117,40419,804N/A23,949N/A
6/30/2016111,19518,920N/A25,593N/A
3/31/2016109,11518,155N/A25,562N/A
12/31/2015105,69317,630N/A20,182N/A
9/30/2015101,95916,778N/A20,297N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ALI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-10% per year).

Earnings vs Market: ALI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-10% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ALI's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ALI's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-1.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ALI's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.3% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ALI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.2%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/06 16:59
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/06 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ayala Land, Inc. is covered by 24 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russ ToribioBofA Global Research
Edser TrinidadCGS International
Sureeporn SirisansaneeyawongCitigroup Inc