Central Azucarera de Tarlac Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of CAT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

CAT (₱11.6) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (₱1838.89)

Is CAT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CAT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CAT (₱11.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (₱1838.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CAT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CAT?

Key metric: As CAT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CAT. This is calculated by dividing CAT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CAT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	1.6x
Earnings	₱1.72b
Market Cap	₱2.77b

CAT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	1.2x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CAT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CAT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	12.1x
LFM Liberty Flour Mills	20.9x	n/a	₱2.4b
VITA Vitarich	8.1x	n/a	₱1.9b
VMC Victorias Milling Company	10x	n/a	₱11.0b
RFM RFM	9.4x	n/a	₱13.1b
CAT Central Azucarera de Tarlac	1.6x	n/a	₱2.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.6x) compared to the peer average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CAT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Food Industry?

24 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	17.0x	16.2%
CAT Central Azucarera de Tarlac	1.6x	n/a	US$46.86m

24 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	17.0x	16.2%
CAT Central Azucarera de Tarlac	1.6x	n/a	US$46.86m

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.6x) compared to the Asian Food industry average (17x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CAT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CAT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	1.6x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CAT's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

Discover undervalued companies

San Miguel Food and Beverage

₱313.5b

Provides processed meat products.

₱53.05

-3.1%

8.4%

Universal Robina

₱183.4b

Operates as a branded food product company in the Philippines and internationally.

URC

₱85.00

6.9%

-29.8%