Petron Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of PRF3A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

PRF3A (₱1002) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (₱238.44)

Is PRF3A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PRF3A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PRF3A (₱1002) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₱238.44)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PRF3A is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PRF3A?

Key metric: As PRF3A is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PRF3A. This is calculated by dividing PRF3A's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PRF3A's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	11.6x
Earnings	₱2.01b
Market Cap	₱23.34b

PRF3A key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	6.8x
PEG Ratio	0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PRF3A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PRF3A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	36.3x
SHLPH Shell Pilipinas	127.1x	n/a	₱14.2b
PPC Pryce	7.1x	n/a	₱19.6b
SCC Semirara Mining and Power	6.4x	-4.2%	₱135.0b
PERC PetroEnergy Resources	4.5x	n/a	₱2.1b
PRF3A Petron	11.6x	40.4%	₱23.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PRF3A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (36.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PRF3A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Oil and Gas Industry?

8 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

8 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PRF3A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the Asian Oil and Gas industry average (10.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PRF3A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PRF3A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	11.6x
Fair PE Ratio	10.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PRF3A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.