Philippine Seven Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of SEVN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

SEVN (₱69.85) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (₱54.09)

Is SEVN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SEVN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SEVN (₱69.85) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₱54.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SEVN is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SEVN?

Key metric: As SEVN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SEVN. This is calculated by dividing SEVN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SEVN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	27.9x
Earnings	₱3.79b
Market Cap	₱105.67b

SEVN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	12.6x
PEG Ratio	1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SEVN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SEVN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	7.9x
COSCO Cosco Capital	4.7x	12.3%	₱37.4b
KEEPR Keepers Holdings	9x	n/a	₱29.6b
MM MerryMart Consumer	11.2x	n/a	₱4.5b
MRSGI Metro Retail Stores Group	6.8x	n/a	₱3.9b
SEVN Philippine Seven	27.9x	17.4%	₱105.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SEVN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.9x) compared to the peer average (7.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SEVN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Consumer Retailing Industry?

6 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

6 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SEVN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.9x) compared to the Asian Consumer Retailing industry average (16.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SEVN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SEVN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	27.9x
Fair PE Ratio	13.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SEVN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.