Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.

BVL:LW Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.1b

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Lamb Weston Holdings Valuation

Is LW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LW ($82.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($84.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LW is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LW?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LW key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16x
PEG Ratio-9.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.5x
ALICORC1 AlicorpA
12.4x28.6%S/4.6b
GLORIAI1 Leche Gloria
8.9xn/aS/2.2b
CASAGRC1 Casa GrandeA
10.8xn/aS/1.1b
BACKUSI1 Unión de Cervecerías Peruanas Backus y JohnstonA
14xn/aS/27.4b
LW Lamb Weston Holdings
13.9x-1.5%US$14.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the peer average (9.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the South American Food industry average (9.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LW's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Sep ’25n/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Aug ’25n/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Jul ’25n/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Jun ’25n/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
May ’25n/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Apr ’25n/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Mar ’25n/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Feb ’25n/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Jan ’25n/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Dec ’24n/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Nov ’24n/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Oct ’24n/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Sep ’24n/a
US$118.13
0%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Aug ’24US$82.54
US$118.25
+43.3%
15.4%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Jul ’24US$82.54
US$115.13
+39.5%
15.2%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Jun ’24US$82.54
US$114.13
+38.3%
15.1%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
May ’24US$82.54
US$114.88
+39.2%
15.1%US$135.00US$74.00n/a8
Apr ’24US$82.54
US$103.14
+25.0%
14.1%US$115.00US$71.00n/a7
Mar ’24US$82.54
US$100.89
+22.2%
14.4%US$115.00US$71.00n/a9
Feb ’24US$82.54
US$100.89
+22.2%
14.4%US$115.00US$71.00n/a9
Jan ’24US$82.54
US$90.33
+9.4%
11.6%US$105.00US$70.00n/a9
Dec ’23US$82.54
US$89.22
+8.1%
10.4%US$101.00US$70.00n/a9
Nov ’23US$82.54
US$89.22
+8.1%
10.4%US$101.00US$70.00n/a9
Oct ’23US$82.54
US$84.00
+1.8%
10.5%US$98.00US$70.00n/a9
Sep ’23US$82.54
US$84.00
+1.8%
10.5%US$98.00US$70.00n/a9

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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