Airbnb Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Airbnb is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 17.7% and 10% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 17.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 29.2% in 3 years.
Key information
17.7%
Earnings growth rate
17.9%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 22.4% |
| Revenue growth rate | 10.0% |
| Future return on equity | 29.2% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 20 Dec 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
No updates
Recent updates
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 13,475 | 3,203 | 4,821 | 5,110 | 34 |
| 12/31/2025 | 12,216 | 2,788 | 4,334 | 4,567 | 43 |
| 12/31/2024 | 11,047 | 2,568 | 4,271 | 4,437 | 41 |
| 9/30/2024 | 10,840 | 1,838 | 4,115 | 4,115 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 10,505 | 4,844 | 4,362 | 4,362 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 10,241 | 4,939 | 4,220 | 4,220 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 9,917 | 4,792 | 3,884 | 3,884 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 9,601 | 5,460 | 4,301 | 4,284 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 9,088 | 2,300 | 3,934 | 3,923 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 8,708 | 2,029 | 3,821 | 3,815 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 8,399 | 1,893 | 3,430 | 3,430 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 8,029 | 1,629 | 3,328 | 3,349 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 7,383 | 1,248 | 2,899 | 2,920 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 6,614 | 801 | 2,885 | 2,909 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,992 | -352 | 2,313 | 2,313 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 5,319 | -4,294 | 1,763 | 1,792 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,424 | -4,909 | 1,562 | 1,593 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 3,423 | -5,416 | 517 | 546 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,378 | -4,585 | -777 | -740 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,626 | -1,048 | -743 | -687 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 4,805 | -674 | 97 | 223 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,652 | -17 | 505 | 596 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,562 | -70 | N/A | 251 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ABNB's forecast earnings growth (17.7% per year) is above the savings rate (8.7%).
Earnings vs Market: ABNB's earnings (17.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the PE market (10% per year).
High Growth Earnings: ABNB's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: ABNB's revenue (10% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the PE market (4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ABNB's revenue (10% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: ABNB's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (29.2%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2024/12/26 00:23 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/24 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/09/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Airbnb, Inc. is covered by 56 analysts. 43 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| James Cordwell | Atlantic Equities LLP |
| Colin Sebastian | Baird |
| Ishan Majumdar | Baptista Research |